UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 2
Goiania, Brazil
9 Nov 2013
Welterweight
VS
75%
Ponzinibbio
25%
LaFlare
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Ponzinibbio
Ponzinibbio is a strong favourite at 75% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 31 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Ponzinibbio has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 19 points.
Ponzinibbio has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Ponzinibbio's chin rating of 4 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
LaFlare has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Ponzinibbio
LaFlare
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'1"
73"
Reach
+74"
39+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Ponzinibbio
LaFlare
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
45.7
14.9
50.5
Performance Avg
43.0
44
Quality of Victory
25
46
Momentum Score
60
Ponzinibbio
LaFlare
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.1
1.0
45%
Strike Accuracy
42%
7.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.4
7 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
25
2
Body
13
2
Leg
4
RangeRange
5Distance11
1Clinch5
0Ground26
Ponzinibbio
LaFlare
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
1.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
0.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Ponzinibbio
LaFlare
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
4
54
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/40 fights
Chin rating based on
10/17 fights
Ponzinibbio
LaFlare
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
46
60
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Ponzinibbio
LaFlare
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
58%
0%
7
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
7
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ponzinibbio
LaFlare
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.4
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.1
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.4
PonzinibbioLaFlare
Strike Zones
Ponzinibbio
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
42 absorbedLaFlare
Attacking
42 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ponzinibbio targets the head (33% of attacks) — LaFlare absorbs 33% of strikes there
🎯LaFlare targets the head (60% of attacks) — Ponzinibbio absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ponzinibbio
RND
LaFlare
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Ponzinibbio · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
LaFlare · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Ponzinibbio · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Daniel RodriguezRating 4.9KO/TKO
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W · KO · R3
Carlston HarrisRating 6.3KO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
Muslim SalikhovRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07
L · KO · R3
Kevin HollandRating 4.6KO/TKO
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2 · 2023-04
W · KO · R3
Alex MoronoRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev · 2022-12
LaFlare · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Anthony Rocco MartinRating 4KO/TKO
UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor · 2018-10
W · Dec · R3
Alex GarciaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee · 2018-04
L · KO · R2
Alex OliveiraRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Gastelum · 2017-07
W · Dec · R3
Roan CarneiroRating 4.5Decision
UFC 208: Holm vs. De Randamie · 2017-02
W · Dec · R3
Mike PierceRating 4.5Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team McGregor vs. Team Faber Finale · 2015-12