UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz
San Diego, USA
13 Aug 2022
Middleweight
VS
52%
Silva
48%
Meerschaert
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 1:39
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Silva
This is a genuine toss-up — Silva at 52% vs Meerschaert at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Silva has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Silva's chin rating of 46 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Meerschaert has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Silva
Meerschaert
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'1"
74"
Reach
+77"
36+
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Silva
Meerschaert
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
61.6
56.7
49.0
Performance Avg
48.2
58
Quality of Victory
50
91
Momentum Score
91
Silva
Meerschaert
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
1.2
53%
Strike Accuracy
45%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.8
4 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
12
1
Body
1
2
Leg
2
RangeRange
6Distance11
1Clinch0
0Ground4
Silva
Meerschaert
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
7.3
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
5.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Silva
Meerschaert
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
46
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
5
2
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.2 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/36 fights
Chin rating based on
26/59 fights
Silva
Meerschaert
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
91
91
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
Silva
Meerschaert
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
100%
4
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
11
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Silva
Meerschaert
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.8
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
7.3
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
9.2
8.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.4
0.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.9
SilvaMeerschaert
Strike Zones
Silva
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedMeerschaert
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Silva targets the head (57% of attacks) — Meerschaert absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Meerschaert targets the head (80% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 80% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Silva
RND
Meerschaert
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Silva · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Meerschaert · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Silva · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Marc-Andre BarriaultRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
L · Dec · R3
Ismail NaurdievRating 6Decision
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Chris WeidmanRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · 2024-03
L · Dec · R3
Shara MagomedovRating 7Decision
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
L · Sub · R1
Brendan AllenRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria · 2023-06
Meerschaert · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Jacob MalkounRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05
L · Sub · R1
Kyle DaukausRating 2.1Submission
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
L · KO · R1
Michal OleksiejczukRating 2.5KO/TKO
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Brad TavaresRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04
L · Sub · R3
Reinier de RidderRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · 2024-11

