METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weidman
Boston, USA
18 Oct 2019
Bantamweight
VS
94%
Costa
6%
Salmon
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:15
★ Official Result
Randy CostawinsKO/TKOR1 · 2:15
def. Boston Salmon · UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weidman
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Costa
→
Actual result
Costa wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Costa is a strong favourite at 94% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 23 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Costa has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 60 points.
Salmon has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Costa's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Salmon has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
CostaSalmon
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Costa
Salmon
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
5'9"
73"+
Reach
69"
32+
Age
35
Switch
Stance
Southpaw
Costa
Salmon
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
24.9
1.6
49.3
Performance Avg
0.0
60
Quality of Victory
0
13
Momentum Score
0
Costa
Salmon
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.2
2.4
49%
Strike Accuracy
55%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
21
Head
4
1
Body
7
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
19Distance11
0Clinch1
3Ground0
Costa
Salmon
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Costa
Salmon
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
56
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/10 fights
Chin rating based on
2/9 fights
Costa
Salmon
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
13
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Costa
Salmon
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Costa
Salmon
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
0.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
CostaSalmon
Strike Zones
Costa
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedSalmon
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Costa targets the head (95% of attacks) — Salmon absorbs 95% of strikes there
🎯Salmon targets the body (58% of attacks) — Costa absorbs 58% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Costa
RND
Salmon
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0
Costa · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.6WinLossTrend
Salmon · QOF Timeline
Avg: 1.5WinLossTrend
Costa · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Guido CannettiRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · 2022-10
L · KO · R2
Tony KelleyRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier · 2021-12
L · KO · R2
Adrian YanezRating 4.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Dillashaw · 2021-07
W · KO · R1
Journey NewsonRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09
W · KO · R1
Boston SalmonRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weidman · 2019-10
Salmon · Last 2
L · KO · R1
Randy CostaRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weidman · 2019-10
L · KO · R1
Khalid TahaRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 236: Holloway vs. Poirier 2 · 2019-04