METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weidman
Boston, USA
18 Oct 2019
Bantamweight
VS
94%
Costa
6%
Salmon
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:15
★ Official Result
Randy CostawinsKO/TKOR1 · 2:15
def. Boston Salmon · UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weidman
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Costa
→
Actual result
Costa wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Costa is a strong favourite at 94% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 23 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Costa has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 60 points.
Risk flags
Costa's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Salmon has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
CostaSalmon
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Costa
Salmon
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
5'9"
73"+
Reach
69"
32+
Age
35
Switch
Stance
Southpaw
Costa
Salmon
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
24.9
1.6
49.3
Performance Avg
0.0
60
Quality of Victory
0
13
Momentum Score
0
Costa
Salmon
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
10.0
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
8.0
Style: Pressure
0.0
0.7
Style: Volume
0.0
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
21
Head
4
1
Body
7
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
19Distance11
0Clinch1
3Ground0
Costa
Salmon
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Costa
Salmon
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
56
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/10 fights
Chin rating based on
2/9 fights
Costa
Salmon
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
13
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Costa
Salmon
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Costa
Salmon
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
0.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
CostaSalmon
Strike Zones
Costa
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedSalmon
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Costa targets the head (95% of attacks) — Salmon absorbs 95% of strikes there
🎯Salmon targets the body (58% of attacks) — Costa absorbs 58% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Costa
RND
Salmon
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0
Costa · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Guido CannettiSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · 2022-10
L · KO · R2
Tony KelleyKO/TKO
UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier · 2021-12
L · KO · R2
Adrian YanezKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Dillashaw · 2021-07
W · KO · R1
Journey NewsonKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09
W · KO · R1
Boston SalmonKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weidman · 2019-10
Salmon · Last 2
L · KO · R1
Randy CostaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weidman · 2019-10
L · KO · R1
Khalid TahaKO/TKO
UFC 236: Holloway vs. Poirier 2 · 2019-04