UFC 38: Brawl at the Hall
London, United Kingdom
13 Jul 2002
Middleweight
VS
53%
Weir
47%
Jackson
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:10
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Weir
This is a genuine toss-up — Weir at 53% vs Jackson at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Weir has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Weir's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Jackson has a chin rating of 42 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Weir
Jackson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
5'8"
58+
Age
59
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Weir
Jackson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.3
16.5
49.3
Performance Avg
48.0
60
Quality of Victory
52
35
Momentum Score
26
Weir
Jackson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
0.6
67%
Strike Accuracy
34%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.5
1 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
0Clinch0
3Ground0
Weir
Jackson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
1.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.7
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Weir
Jackson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
42
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/39 fights
Chin rating based on
7/24 fights
Weir
Jackson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
35
26
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
Weir
Jackson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Weir
Jackson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.5
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.7
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.9
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.3
0.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.9
WeirJackson
Strike Zones
Weir
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedJackson
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Weir targets the head (100% of attacks) — Jackson absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Weir
RND
Jackson
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Weir · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.1WinLossTrend
Jackson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.1WinLossTrend
Weir · Last 3
L · KO · R1
David LoiseauRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 42: Sudden Impact · 2003-04
L · Sub · R2
Phillip MillerRating 2.8Submission
UFC 40: Vendetta · 2002-11
W · KO · R1
Eugene JacksonRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 38: Brawl at the Hall · 2002-07
Jackson · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Mark WeirRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 38: Brawl at the Hall · 2002-07
W · Sub · R2
Keith RockelRating 5.2Submission
UFC 35: Throwdown · 2002-01
L · Sub · R1
Ricardo AlmeidaRating 1.5Submission
UFC 33: Victory in Vegas · 2001-09
L · Sub · R1
Jeremy HornRating 1.5Submission
UFC 27: Ultimate Bad Boyz · 2000-09
L · Sub · R1
Sanae KikutaRating 1.5Submission
UFC 25: Ultimate Japan 3 · 2000-04