METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 21: Return of the Champions
Cedar Rapids, USA
16 Jul 1999
Middleweight
VS
93%
Horn
7%
Takase
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:41
★ Official Result
Jeremy HornwinsKO/TKOR1 · 4:41
def. Daiju Takase · UFC 21: Return of the Champions
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Horn
→
Actual result
Horn wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Horn is a strong favourite at 93% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Horn has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 49 points.
Horn has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Horn's chin rating of 16 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Takase has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HornTakase
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Horn
Takase
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
74"
Reach
50
Age
+48
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Horn
Takase
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.9
1.5
48.1
Performance Avg
0.0
49
Quality of Victory
0
78
Momentum Score
0
Horn
Takase
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.8
0.1
44%
Strike Accuracy
15%
2.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
27
Head
0
3
Body
0
5
Leg
0
RangeRange
8Distance0
3Clinch0
24Ground0
Horn
Takase
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.7
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
4.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
6.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
4
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Horn
Takase
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
16
54
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
5
Sub Losses
0
Avg R4.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/113 fights
Chin rating based on
3/27 fights
Horn
Takase
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Horn
Takase
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
83%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
4
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Horn
Takase
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
5.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
4.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
6.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
2.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
HornTakase
Strike Zones
Horn
Attacking
35 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedTakase
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
35 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Horn targets the head (77% of attacks) — Takase absorbs 77% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Horn
RND
Takase
0/0R00/0
Horn · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.7WinLossTrend
Takase · QOF Timeline
Avg: 2.8WinLossTrend
Horn · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Rousimar PalharesRating 5.5Decision
UFC 93: Franklin vs Henderson · 2009-01
L · Sub · R1
Dean ListerRating 1.5Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rampage vs Team Forrest Finale · 2008-06
L · Sub · R2
Nate MarquardtRating 2.8Submission
UFC 81: Breaking Point · 2008-02
W · Sub · R2
Chael SonnenRating 5.2Submission
UFC 60: Hughes vs Gracie · 2006-05
W · Dec · R3
Trevor PrangleyRating 4.5Decision
UFC 56: Full Force · 2005-11
Takase · Last 3
L · KO · R1
Fabiano IhaRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 29: Defense of the Belts · 2000-12
L · Dec · R3
Kenichi YamamotoRating 5.5Decision
UFC 23: Ultimate Japan 2 · 1999-11
L · KO · R1
Jeremy HornRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 21: Return of the Champions · 1999-07