METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 21: Return of the Champions
Cedar Rapids, USA
16 Jul 1999
Middleweight
VS
93%
Horn
7%
Takase
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:41
★ Official Result
Jeremy HornwinsKO/TKOR1 · 4:41
def. Daiju Takase · UFC 21: Return of the Champions
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Horn
→
Actual result
Horn wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Horn is a strong favourite at 93% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Horn has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 49 points.
Risk flags
Horn's chin rating of 16 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Takase has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HornTakase
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Horn
Takase
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
74"
Reach
51
Age
+48
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Horn
Takase
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.9
1.5
48.1
Performance Avg
0.0
49
Quality of Victory
0
78
Momentum Score
0
Horn
Takase
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.6
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
7.2
Style: Pressure
0.0
2.3
Style: Volume
0.0
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
27
Head
0
3
Body
0
5
Leg
0
RangeRange
8Distance0
3Clinch0
24Ground0
Horn
Takase
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.7
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
4.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
6.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
4
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Horn
Takase
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
16
54
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
5
Sub Losses
0
Avg R4.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/113 fights
Chin rating based on
3/27 fights
Horn
Takase
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Horn
Takase
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
83%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
4
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Horn
Takase
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
5.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
4.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
6.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
2.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
HornTakase
Strike Zones
Horn
Attacking
35 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedTakase
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
35 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Horn targets the head (77% of attacks) — Takase absorbs 77% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Horn
RND
Takase
0/0R00/0
Horn · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Rousimar PalharesDecision
UFC 93: Franklin vs Henderson · 2009-01
L · Sub · R1
Dean ListerSubmission
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rampage vs Team Forrest Finale · 2008-06
L · Sub · R2
Nate MarquardtSubmission
UFC 81: Breaking Point · 2008-02
W · Sub · R2
Chael SonnenSubmission
UFC 60: Hughes vs Gracie · 2006-05
W · Dec · R3
Trevor PrangleyDecision
UFC 56: Full Force · 2005-11
Takase · Last 3
L · KO · R1
Fabiano IhaKO/TKO
UFC 29: Defense of the Belts · 2000-12
L · Dec · R3
Kenichi YamamotoDecision
UFC 23: Ultimate Japan 2 · 1999-11
L · KO · R1
Jeremy HornKO/TKO
UFC 21: Return of the Champions · 1999-07