METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo
Macau, China
23 Nov 2024
Flyweight
VS
44%
Kavanagh
56%
Ochoa
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Lone'er KavanaghwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Jose Ochoa · UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Ochoa
→
Actual result
Kavanagh wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Kavanagh at 44% vs Ochoa at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Ochoa has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
Risk flags
Kavanagh's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
KavanaghOchoa
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Kavanagh
Ochoa
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'7"
67"
Reach
67"
27
Age
+25
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Kavanagh
Ochoa
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
41.2
53.3
39.0
Performance Avg
44.0
25
Quality of Victory
40
60
Momentum Score
69
Kavanagh
Ochoa
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
6.0
/ 10
1.8
Style: Pressure
5.0
9.2
Style: Volume
5.0
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
3
1
Body
5
2
Leg
3
RangeRange
12Distance11
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Kavanagh
Ochoa
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Kavanagh
Ochoa
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
96
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/11 fights
Chin rating based on
4/11 fights
Kavanagh
Ochoa
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
60
69
Upcoming
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Kavanagh
Ochoa
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Kavanagh
Ochoa
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
9.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
KavanaghOchoa
Strike Zones
Kavanagh
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedOchoa
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Kavanagh targets the head (75% of attacks) — Ochoa absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Ochoa targets the body (45% of attacks) — Kavanagh absorbs 45% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Kavanagh
RND
Ochoa
0/0R00/0
Kavanagh · Last 5
Upcoming
Ramazan TemirovUFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev · 2026-10
L · Sub · R3
Brandon RoyvalSubmission
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
W · Dec · R5
Brandon MorenoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02
L · KO · R2
Charles JohnsonKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
W · Dec · R3
Felipe dos SantosDecision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
Ochoa · Last 4
W · Dec · R3
Clayton CarpenterDecision
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Asu AlmabayevDecision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
W · KO · R2
Cody DurdenKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
L · Dec · R3
Lone'er KavanaghDecision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · 2024-11