Lone'er Kavanagh vs Jose Ochoa

UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo

Macau, China

23 Nov 2024

Flyweight

48%

Kavanagh

52%

Ochoa

Win Probability

Decision

Round 3 · 5:00

Lone'er Kavanagh

10 – 1

5'6"67" reachOrthodox26 yrsWell-Rounded

CFR 49

Jose Ochoa

"Kalzifer"

9 – 2

Well-Rounded25 yrsSouthpaw67" reach5'7"

CFR 53

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Ochoa

This is a genuine toss-up — Kavanagh at 48% vs Ochoa at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Ochoa has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.

Striking split: Ochoa throws more volume but Kavanagh connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Kavanagh

Ochoa

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'6"

Height

+5'7"

67"

Reach

67"

Age

+25

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

Kavanagh

Ochoa

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

49.0

53.3

45.0

Performance Avg

44.0

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Kavanagh

Ochoa

Striking

Significant strikes per minute & accuracy

0.8

1.4

49%

Strike Accuracy

48%

1.5

Striking Style Score (/10)

6.0

0 KOs

KO Finishes

1 KOs

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

12Distance11

0Clinch0

0Ground0

Kavanagh

Ochoa

Grappling

Takedowns, submissions & wrestling

—

0.2

Sub Attempts / fight

—

2.4

Grappling Style Score (/10)

1.2

1.7

Wrestling Style Score (/10)

0.8

0:00

Control Time (this fight)

0:00

Reversals

Kavanagh

Ochoa

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

Moderate

Verdict

Never stopped

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R2.0 stoppage

KO round context

—

2 fights ago

Last KO loss

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

5/11 fights

Chin rating based on

4/11 fights

Kavanagh

Ochoa

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

Upcoming

W · Dec · R5

L · KO · R2

W · Dec · R3

Last 5

W · Dec · R3

L · Dec · R3

W · KO · R2

L · Dec · R3

Kavanagh

Ochoa

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

50%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Kavanagh

Ochoa

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

1.5

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

6.0

2.4

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

1.2

1.7

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

0.8

0.0

Submission

Submission attack frequency

0.0

2.3

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

5.0

9.5

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

5.0

Kavanagh

Strike Zones

Ochoa

Kavanagh

Attacking

12 landed

Absorbing

11 absorbed

Ochoa

Attacking

11 landed

Absorbing

12 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Kavanagh targets the head (75% of attacks) — Ochoa absorbs 75% of strikes there

🎯Ochoa targets the body (45% of attacks) — Kavanagh absorbs 45% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Kavanagh

RND

Ochoa

0/0R00/0

Kavanagh · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8

WinLossTrend

Ochoa · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.9

WinLossTrend

Kavanagh · Last 5

Upcoming

Brandon Royval

UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07

W · Dec · R5

Brandon MorenoRating 5.4

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02

L · KO · R2

Charles JohnsonRating 3.7

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08

W · Dec · R3

Felipe dos SantosRating 4.5

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03

W · Dec · R3

Jose OchoaRating 5.4

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · 2024-11

Ochoa · Last 4

W · Dec · R3

Clayton CarpenterRating 5.4

Decision

UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05

L · Dec · R3

Asu AlmabayevRating 6.6

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07

W · KO · R2

Cody DurdenRating 5.4

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06

L · Dec · R3

Lone'er KavanaghRating 6.2

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · 2024-11

News & Media

Lone'er Kavanagh · Jose Ochoa

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