METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lobov
Nashville, USA
22 Apr 2017
Welterweight
VS
49%
Ellenberger
51%
Perry
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 1:05
★ Official Result
Mike PerrywinsKO/TKOR2 · 1:05
def. Jake Ellenberger · UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lobov
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Perry
→
Actual result
Perry wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Ellenberger at 49% vs Perry at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Ellenberger's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Perry has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
EllenbergerPerry
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Ellenberger
Perry
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'10"
71"
Reach
71"
41
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Ellenberger
Perry
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.7
16.4
45.7
Performance Avg
44.4
45
Quality of Victory
43
56
Momentum Score
50
Ellenberger
Perry
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.0
/ 10
6.7
/ 10
5.6
Style: Pressure
5.4
3.4
Style: Volume
4.4
5 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
2
2
Body
0
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
3Distance3
2Clinch1
0Ground0
Ellenberger
Perry
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.5
/ 10
1.0
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.7
1.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Ellenberger
Perry
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
54
4 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
7
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.6 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/46 fights
Chin rating based on
15/22 fights
Ellenberger
Perry
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
56
50
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Ellenberger
Perry
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
57%
5
KO / TKO Wins
4
1
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ellenberger
Perry
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.7
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.0
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.7
1.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.4
3.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.4
EllenbergerPerry
Strike Zones
Ellenberger
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedPerry
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ellenberger targets the head (60% of attacks) — Perry absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Perry targets the head (50% of attacks) — Ellenberger absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ellenberger
RND
Perry
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0
Ellenberger · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Bryan BarberenaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick · 2018-08
L · KO · R1
Ben SaundersKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Moraes · 2018-06
L · KO · R2
Mike PerryKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lobov · 2017-04
L · KO · R1
Jorge MasvidalKO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Tournament of Champions Finale · 2016-12
W · KO · R1
Matt BrownKO/TKO
UFC 201: Lawler vs. Woodley · 2016-07
Perry · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Daniel RodriguezDecision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland · 2021-04
L · Dec · R3
Tim MeansDecision
UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez · 2020-11
W · Dec · R3
Mickey GallDecision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Hooker · 2020-06
L · KO · R1
Geoff NealKO/TKO
UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington · 2019-12
L · Dec · R3
Vicente LuqueDecision
UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs. Carmouche 2 · 2019-08