METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
★ Championship Bout · Women's Strawweight
UFC 193: Rousey vs Holm
Melbourne, Australia
14 Nov 2015
Women's Strawweight
VS
70%
Jedrzejczyk
30%
Letourneau
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Joanna JedrzejczykwinsDecisionR5 · 5:00
def. Valerie Letourneau · UFC 193: Rousey vs Holm
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Jedrzejczyk
→
Actual result
Jedrzejczyk wins
Decision · R5
Pre-fight analysis
Jedrzejczyk is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Jedrzejczyk has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 19 points.
Risk flags
Jedrzejczyk's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
JedrzejczykLetourneau
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Jedrzejczyk
Letourneau
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'7"
65"
Reach
+68"
39+
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Jedrzejczyk
Letourneau
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
27.8
12.1
52.9
Performance Avg
35.0
44
Quality of Victory
25
58
Momentum Score
35
Jedrzejczyk
Letourneau
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.3
/ 10
1.0
/ 10
3.4
Style: Pressure
1.5
7.7
Style: Volume
9.0
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
32
Head
18
8
Body
5
17
Leg
2
RangeRange
53Distance24
4Clinch1
0Ground0
Jedrzejczyk
Letourneau
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.9
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Jedrzejczyk
Letourneau
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
74
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/21 fights
Chin rating based on
6/14 fights
Jedrzejczyk
Letourneau
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
58
35
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Jedrzejczyk
Letourneau
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
20%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Jedrzejczyk
Letourneau
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.5
7.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.0
JedrzejczykLetourneau
Strike Zones
Jedrzejczyk
Attacking
57 landedAbsorbing
25 absorbedLetourneau
Attacking
25 landedAbsorbing
57 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Jedrzejczyk targets the head (56% of attacks) — Letourneau absorbs 56% of strikes there
🎯Letourneau targets the head (72% of attacks) — Jedrzejczyk absorbs 72% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Jedrzejczyk
RND
Letourneau
0/0R00/0
Jedrzejczyk · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Zhang WeiliKO/TKO
UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka · 2022-06
L · Dec · R5
Zhang WeiliDecision
UFC 248: Adesanya vs. Romero · 2020-03
W · Dec · R5
Michelle Waterson-GomezDecision
UFC Fight Night: Joanna vs. Waterson · 2019-10
L · Dec · R5
Valentina ShevchenkoDecision
UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega · 2018-12
W · Dec · R3
Tecia PenningtonDecision
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2 · 2018-07
Letourneau · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Viviane PereiraDecision
UFC 206: Holloway vs. Pettis · 2016-12
L · KO · R3
Joanne WoodKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson · 2016-06
L · Dec · R5
Joanna JedrzejczykDecision
UFC 193: Rousey vs Holm · 2015-11
W · Dec · R3
Maryna MorozDecision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Oliveira · 2015-08
W · Dec · R3
Jessica RakoczyDecision
UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi · 2015-04