★ Championship Bout · Women's Strawweight
UFC 193: Rousey vs Holm
Melbourne, Australia
14 Nov 2015
Women's Strawweight
VS
70%
Jedrzejczyk
30%
Letourneau
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
JJ
Joanna Jedrzejczyk
16 – 5
5'6"65" reachOrthodox38 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 28
VL
Valerie Letourneau
"Trouble"
8 – 6
Well-Rounded3-fight slide43 yrsOrthodox68" reach5'7"
CFR 12

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Jedrzejczyk

Jedrzejczyk is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Jedrzejczyk has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 19 points.

Jedrzejczyk has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Jedrzejczyk's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Jedrzejczyk
Letourneau
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'7"
65"
Reach
+68"
38+
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Jedrzejczyk
Letourneau
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
27.8
12.1
52.9
Performance Avg
35.0
44
Quality of Victory
25
58
Momentum Score
35
Jedrzejczyk
Letourneau
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
1.5
45%
Strike Accuracy
37%
3.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
32
Head
18
8
Body
5
17
Leg
2
RangeRange
53Distance24
4Clinch1
0Ground0
Jedrzejczyk
Letourneau
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.9
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Jedrzejczyk
Letourneau
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
74
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/21 fights
Chin rating based on
6/14 fights
Jedrzejczyk
Letourneau
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
58
35
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Jedrzejczyk
Letourneau
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
20%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Jedrzejczyk
Letourneau
Striking3.3 / 1.0Volume7.7 / 9.0Grappling1.9 / 2.4Wrestling1.3 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure3.4 / 1.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.5
7.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.0
Jedrzejczyk
Strike Zones
Letourneau
Jedrzejczyk
Attacking
32HEAD8BODY17LEGS57 landed
Absorbing
18HEAD5BODY2LEGS25 absorbed
Letourneau
Attacking
18HEAD5BODY2LEGS25 landed
Absorbing
32HEAD8BODY17LEGS57 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Jedrzejczyk targets the head (56% of attacks) — Letourneau absorbs 56% of strikes there
🎯Letourneau targets the head (72% of attacks) — Jedrzejczyk absorbs 72% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Jedrzejczyk
RND
Letourneau
0/0R00/0

Jedrzejczyk · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0104.5W4.5W5.4W5.3W4.5W4.5W4.5W5.3W2.9L6.9L5.2W6.9L4.5W7.3L4.6L2014-072015-112017-112019-102022-06
WinLossTrend

Letourneau · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0104.5W4.5W5.1W5.5L4.2L5.5L2014-062015-042015-082015-112016-062016-12
WinLossTrend

Jedrzejczyk · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Zhang WeiliRating 4.6
KO/TKO
UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka · 2022-06
L · Dec · R5
Zhang WeiliRating 7.3
Decision
UFC 248: Adesanya vs. Romero · 2020-03
W · Dec · R5
Michelle Waterson-GomezRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Joanna vs. Waterson · 2019-10
L · Dec · R5
Valentina ShevchenkoRating 6.9
Decision
UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega · 2018-12
W · Dec · R3
Tecia PenningtonRating 5.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2 · 2018-07

Letourneau · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Viviane PereiraRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 206: Holloway vs. Pettis · 2016-12
L · KO · R3
Joanne WoodRating 4.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson · 2016-06
L · Dec · R5
Joanna JedrzejczykRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 193: Rousey vs Holm · 2015-11
W · Dec · R3
Maryna MorozRating 5.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Oliveira · 2015-08
W · Dec · R3
Jessica RakoczyRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi · 2015-04

News & Media

Joanna Jedrzejczyk · Valerie Letourneau
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