METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night 3
Las Vegas, USA
16 Jan 2006
Welterweight
VS
36%
Ludwig
64%
Goulet
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:06
JG
CFR 18
★ Official Result
Duane LudwigwinsKO/TKOR1 · 0:06
def. Jonathan Goulet · UFC Fight Night 3
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Goulet
→
Actual result
Ludwig wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Goulet holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Ludwig has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Ludwig throws more volume but Goulet connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Ludwig's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Goulet has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
LudwigGoulet
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Ludwig
Goulet
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'0"
70"
Reach
+73"
47
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Ludwig
Goulet
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
10.1
17.6
38.0
Performance Avg
41.6
34
Quality of Victory
40
10
Momentum Score
100
Ludwig
Goulet
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
0.5
39%
Strike Accuracy
40%
3.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.4
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Ludwig
Goulet
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
1.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.6
1.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Ludwig
Goulet
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
4
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/35 fights
Chin rating based on
9/35 fights
Ludwig
Goulet
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
10
100
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
Ludwig
Goulet
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ludwig
Goulet
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.4
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
3.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
6.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.9
LudwigGoulet
Strike Zones
Ludwig
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedGoulet
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ludwig targets the head (100% of attacks) — Goulet absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ludwig
RND
Goulet
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Ludwig · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.0WinLossTrend
Goulet · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.1WinLossTrend
Ludwig · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Che MillsRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC on FUEL TV: Struve vs Miocic · 2012-09
L · KO · R1
Dan HardyRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 146: Dos Santos vs Mir · 2012-05
L · Sub · R1
Josh NeerRating 1.5Submission
UFC on FX: Guillard vs Miller · 2012-01
W · Dec · R3
Amir SadollahRating 4.5Decision
UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle · 2011-08
W · Dec · R3
Nick OsipczakRating 4.5Decision
UFC 122: Marquardt vs Okami · 2010-11
Goulet · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Marcus DavisRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 113: Machida vs Shogun 2 · 2010-05
L · KO · R1
Mike SwickRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night - Fight for the Troops · 2008-12
W · KO · R2
Kuniyoshi HironakaRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 83: Serra vs St-Pierre 2 · 2008-04
W · Sub · R1
Paul GeorgieffRating 5Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Hughes vs. Team Serra Finale · 2007-12
L · Sub · R1
Dustin HazelettRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Thomas vs Florian · 2007-09