METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov
Louisville, USA
8 Jun 2024
Welterweight
VS
46%
Baeza
54%
Soriano
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Punahele SorianowinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Miguel Baeza · UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Soriano
→
Actual result
Soriano wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Baeza at 46% vs Soriano at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 7 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Baeza's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Soriano has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BaezaSoriano
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Baeza
Soriano
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
5'11"
74"+
Reach
72"
34
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Baeza
Soriano
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
46.1
53.5
49.0
Performance Avg
49.9
53
Quality of Victory
44
39
Momentum Score
64
Baeza
Soriano
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
7.5
/ 10
6.9
/ 10
8.3
Style: Pressure
5.8
0.9
Style: Volume
4.6
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
46
0
Body
7
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground52
Baeza
Soriano
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.7
/ 10
1.0
/ 10
1.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.7
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Baeza
Soriano
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
60
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/14 fights
Chin rating based on
12/17 fights
Baeza
Soriano
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
64
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Baeza
Soriano
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
57%
2
KO / TKO Wins
4
1
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Baeza
Soriano
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.9
2.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.0
1.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.7
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.8
0.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.6
BaezaSoriano
Strike Zones
Baeza
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
53 absorbedSoriano
Attacking
53 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Baeza targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Soriano absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Soriano targets the head (87% of attacks) — Baeza absorbs 87% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Baeza
RND
Soriano
0/0R00/0
Baeza · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Punahele SorianoDecision
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L · KO · R1
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L · Dec · R3
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W · Sub · R2
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Soriano · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Daniil DonchenkoDecision
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W · Dec · R3
Ramiz BrahimajDecision
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UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · KO · R1
Uros MedicKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01
W · Dec · R3
Miguel BaezaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06