UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa
Las Vegas, USA
16 May 2026
Women's Strawweight
VS
49%
Bannon
51%
Caliari
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 3:08
Shauna
Shauna Bannon
"Mama B"
7 – 3
5'5"65" reachSwitch32 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 45
Nicolle
Nicolle Caliari
9 – 4
Submission Hunter29 yrsOrthodox62" reach5'3"
CFR 47

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Caliari

This is a genuine toss-up — Bannon at 49% vs Caliari at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Bannon has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Bannon
Caliari
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"+
Height
5'3"
65"+
Reach
62"
32
Age
+29
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Bannon
Caliari
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
45.4
46.7
38.3
Performance Avg
40.3
37
Quality of Victory
45
56
Momentum Score
35
Bannon
Caliari
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
0.9
46%
Strike Accuracy
42%
0.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
8
2
Body
0
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
7Distance3
0Clinch1
0Ground4
Bannon
Caliari
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
5.2
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
3.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Bannon
Caliari
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
76
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/10 fights
Chin rating based on
3/13 fights
Bannon
Caliari
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
56
35
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Sub · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
Bannon
Caliari
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Bannon
Caliari
Striking0.8 / 0.7Volume4.8 / 0.7Grappling5.2 / 8.0Wrestling3.6 / 5.6Submission5.0 / 10.0Pressure4.7 / 8.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
Bannon
Strike Zones
Caliari
Bannon
Attacking
2HEAD2BODY3LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD0BODY0LEGS8 absorbed
Caliari
Attacking
8HEAD0BODY0LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD2BODY3LEGS7 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Bannon targets the legs (43% of attacks) — Caliari absorbs 43% of strikes there
🎯Caliari targets the head (100% of attacks) — Bannon absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Bannon
RND
Caliari
0/0R00/0

Bannon · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.5L5.2W5.5W3.5L4.6L2023-072024-072025-032025-092026-05
WinLossTrend

Caliari · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.7
0105.5L5.7L6.0W2025-012025-072026-05
WinLossTrend

Bannon · Last 5

L · Sub · R3
Nicolle CaliariRating 4.6
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa · 2026-05
L · Sub · R2
Sam HughesRating 3.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · 2025-09
W · Sub · R2
Puja TomarRating 5.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Alice ArdeleanRating 5.2
Decision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
L · Dec · R3
Bruna BrasilRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · 2023-07

Caliari · Last 3

W · Sub · R3
Shauna BannonRating 6
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa · 2026-05
L · KO · R3
Carli JudiceRating 5.7
KO/TKO
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · Dec · R3
Ernesta KareckaiteRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01

News & Media

Shauna Bannon · Nicolle Caliari
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