UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Oliveira
Saskatoon, Canada
23 Aug 2015
Lightweight
VS
42%
Stout
58%
Perez
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:54
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Perez
This is a genuine toss-up — Stout at 42% vs Perez at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Perez has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 31 points.
Striking split: Stout throws more volume but Perez connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Stout's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Stout
Perez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'11"
70"
Reach
+73"
42
Age
+37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Stout
Perez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
12.3
17.0
35.3
Performance Avg
46.0
29
Quality of Victory
60
60
Momentum Score
22
Stout
Perez
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
0.5
28%
Strike Accuracy
49%
2.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
8
0
Body
2
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
2Distance6
0Clinch0
0Ground6
Stout
Perez
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
1.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Stout
Perez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
74
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/32 fights
Chin rating based on
4/14 fights
Stout
Perez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
60
22
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
Stout
Perez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
11%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Stout
Perez
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
8.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
StoutPerez
Strike Zones
Stout
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedPerez
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Stout targets the head (50% of attacks) — Perez absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Perez targets the head (67% of attacks) — Stout absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Stout
RND
Perez
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Stout · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Perez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Stout · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Frankie PerezRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Oliveira · 2015-08
L · KO · R2
Ross PearsonRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 185: Pettis vs Dos Anjos · 2015-03
L · KO · R1
KJ NoonsRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Kennedy · 2014-04
W · Dec · R3
Cody McKenzieRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Benavidez 2 · 2013-12
L · Sub · R3
James KrauseRating 4Submission
UFC 161: Evans vs Henderson · 2013-06
Perez · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Chris WadeRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Gastelum · 2017-07
L · Dec · R3
Marc DiakieseRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdurakhimov · 2016-12
W · KO · R1
Sam StoutRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Oliveira · 2015-08
L · KO · R3
Johnny CaseRating 4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver · 2015-01