UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Prochazka
Las Vegas, USA
1 May 2021
Light Heavyweight
VS
45%
Reyes
55%
Prochazka
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:29
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Prochazka
This is a genuine toss-up — Reyes at 45% vs Prochazka at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Prochazka has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Reyes's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Prochazka has a chin rating of 34 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Reyes
Prochazka
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'3"
77"
Reach
+80"
36
Age
+33
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Reyes
Prochazka
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
55.7
68.4
56.3
Performance Avg
60.9
49
Quality of Victory
57
71
Momentum Score
98
Reyes
Prochazka
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.5
2.5
55%
Strike Accuracy
64%
7.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
9.7
6 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
25
9
Body
7
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
18Distance26
1Clinch0
5Ground6
Reyes
Prochazka
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
1.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.3
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Reyes
Prochazka
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
34
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/21 fights
Chin rating based on
9/38 fights
Reyes
Prochazka
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
71
98
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
Reyes
Prochazka
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
70%
100%
6
KO / TKO Wins
5
1
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Reyes
Prochazka
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.7
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.3
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.9
1.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.7
6.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
9.0
3.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.3
ReyesProchazka
Strike Zones
Reyes
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
32 absorbedProchazka
Attacking
32 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Reyes targets the head (58% of attacks) — Prochazka absorbs 58% of strikes there
🎯Prochazka targets the head (78% of attacks) — Reyes absorbs 78% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Reyes
RND
Prochazka
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Reyes · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Prochazka · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Reyes · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Johnny WalkerRating 5.3Decision
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
L · KO · R1
Carlos UlbergRating 3.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09
W · KO · R1
Nikita KrylovRating 6.2KO/TKO
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · KO · R2
Anthony SmithRating 6.4KO/TKO
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · KO · R1
Dustin JacobyRating 6.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
Prochazka · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Carlos UlbergRating 3.4KO/TKO
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
W · KO · R3
Khalil Rountree Jr.Rating 6.4KO/TKO
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · KO · R3
Jamahal HillRating 6.8KO/TKO
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
L · KO · R2
Alex PereiraRating 4.2KO/TKO
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
W · KO · R2
Aleksandar RakicRating 5.4KO/TKO
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04