UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teixeira
Jacksonville, USA
13 May 2020
Heavyweight
VS
37%
Rothwell
63%
Preux
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Preux
Preux holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Rothwell has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 20 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Rothwell throws more volume but Preux connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Rothwell's chin rating of 34 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Preux has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Rothwell
Preux
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'3"
78"
Reach
+80"
44
Age
+43
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Rothwell
Preux
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
27.0
46.7
49.7
Performance Avg
50.2
48
Quality of Victory
48
45
Momentum Score
72
Rothwell
Preux
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.3
46%
Strike Accuracy
48%
5.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.1
4 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
21
Head
19
6
Body
1
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
22Distance14
8Clinch6
0Ground0
Rothwell
Preux
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.2
/ 10
3.3
/ 10
2.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.3
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
3
Submission wins
5
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Rothwell
Preux
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
34
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
4
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.8 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/53 fights
Chin rating based on
28/45 fights
Rothwell
Preux
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
72
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Rothwell
Preux
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
78%
73%
4
KO / TKO Wins
6
3
Submission Wins
5
2
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Rothwell
Preux
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.1
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.3
2.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.3
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
7.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.7
2.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.2
RothwellPreux
Strike Zones
Rothwell
Attacking
30 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedPreux
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
30 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Rothwell targets the head (70% of attacks) — Preux absorbs 70% of strikes there
🎯Preux targets the head (95% of attacks) — Rothwell absorbs 95% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Rothwell
RND
Preux
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Rothwell · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Preux · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Rothwell · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Marcos Rogerio de LimaRating 2.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Rodriguez · 2021-11
W · Sub · R2
Chris BarnettRating 6.3Submission
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbrandt · 2021-05
L · Dec · R3
Marcin TyburaRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. Sandhagen · 2020-10
W · Dec · R3
Ovince Saint PreuxRating 5.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teixeira · 2020-05
W · KO · R2
Stefan StruveRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik · 2019-12
Preux · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Ryan SpannRating 1.9Submission
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Kennedy NzechukwuRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · 2024-03
L · KO · R1
Philipe LinsRating 2.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield · 2023-02
W · Dec · R3
Mauricio RuaRating 4.5Decision
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05
L · KO · R2
Tanner BoserRating 3.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov · 2021-06