UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie
Jacksonville, USA
9 Apr 2022
Welterweight
VS
35%
Burns
65%
Chimaev
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Gilbert
Gilbert Burns
"Durinho"
22 – 10
5'10"71" reachOrthodox39 yrs5-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 40
Khamzat
Khamzat Chimaev
"Borz"
15 – 1
Well-Rounded32 yrsOrthodox75" reach6'2"
CFR 73

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Chimaev

Chimaev holds a meaningful edge at 65% per the CFR ratings — but Burns has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 33 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Chimaev has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Burns's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Burns
Chimaev
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'2"
71"
Reach
+75"
39
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Burns
Chimaev
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
39.8
73.2
48.1
Performance Avg
65.1
40
Quality of Victory
49
28
Momentum Score
100
Burns
Chimaev
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.6
49%
Strike Accuracy
55%
3.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.0
3 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
33
Head
40
10
Body
3
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
42Distance38
3Clinch6
0Ground0
Burns
Chimaev
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.8
/ 10
4.4
/ 10
2.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.0
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
4.4
5
Submission wins
4
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Burns
Chimaev
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
98
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
5
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.2 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
25/32 fights
Chin rating based on
10/16 fights
Burns
Chimaev
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
28
100
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Burns
Chimaev
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
53%
67%
3
KO / TKO Wins
2
5
Submission Wins
4
7
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Burns
Chimaev
Striking3.2 / 4.0Volume4.9 / 4.5Grappling3.8 / 4.4Wrestling2.6 / 3.0Submission3.3 / 4.4Pressure5.5 / 7.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.0
3.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.4
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.4
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.4
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.5
Burns
Strike Zones
Chimaev
Burns
Attacking
33HEAD10BODY2LEGS45 landed
Absorbing
40HEAD3BODY1LEGS44 absorbed
Chimaev
Attacking
40HEAD3BODY1LEGS44 landed
Absorbing
33HEAD10BODY2LEGS45 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Burns targets the head (73% of attacks) — Chimaev absorbs 73% of strikes there
🎯Chimaev targets the head (91% of attacks) — Burns absorbs 91% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Burns
RND
Chimaev
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Burns · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0104.5W5.2W5.5W5.5L5.0W5.5L5.2W5.2W2.4L4.5W6.4W4.5W5.6W5.0W4.5W3.9L5.1W7.4L5.6W4.5W6.6L5.5L6.6L3.6L4.5L2014-072018-042020-052024-032026-04
WinLossTrend

Chimaev · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.7
0105.2W5.0W6.1W5.8W4.7W5.6W5.6W5.9W6.4W6.6L2020-072021-102023-102026-05
WinLossTrend

Burns · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Mike MalottRating 4.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · 2026-04
L · KO · R1
Michael MoralesRating 3.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · 2025-05
L · Dec · R5
Sean BradyRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09
L · KO · R3
Jack Della MaddalenaRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
L · Dec · R5
Belal MuhammadRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05

Chimaev · Last 5

L · Dec · R5
Sean StricklandRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
W · Dec · R5
Dricus Du PlessisRating 6.4
Decision
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · Sub · R1
Robert WhittakerRating 5.9
Submission
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Kamaru UsmanRating 5.6
Decision
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
W · Sub · R1
Kevin HollandRating 5.6
Submission
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson · 2022-09

News & Media

Gilbert Burns · Khamzat Chimaev
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