UFC Fight Night: Swick vs Burkman
Las Vegas, USA
23 Jan 2008
Lightweight
VS
92%
Pellegrino
8%
Crane
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 1:55
KP
Kurt Pellegrino
"Batman"
16 – 7
5'8"70" reachOrthodox47 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 18
AC
Alberto Crane
15 – 5
Well-Rounded2-fight slide49 yrsOrthodox5'5"
CFR 2

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Pellegrino

Pellegrino is a strong favourite at 92% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Pellegrino has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 45 points.

Pellegrino has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Crane has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Pellegrino
Crane
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'5"
70"
Reach
47+
Age
49
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pellegrino
Crane
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.2
1.6
50.1
Performance Avg
0.0
45
Quality of Victory
0
48
Momentum Score
0
Pellegrino
Crane
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
0.1
42%
Strike Accuracy
20%
2.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
0
0
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
0Clinch0
6Ground0
Pellegrino
Crane
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
5.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
3.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Pellegrino
Crane
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
70
56
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
2
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/23 fights
Chin rating based on
2/20 fights
Pellegrino
Crane
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
48
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R3
Pellegrino
Crane
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
71%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
4
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Pellegrino
Crane
Striking2.6 / 0.0Volume3.5 / 0.0Grappling5.3 / 0.0Wrestling3.7 / 0.0Submission5.7 / 0.0Pressure6.8 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
5.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
5.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Pellegrino
Strike Zones
Crane
Pellegrino
Attacking
5HEAD0BODY1LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Crane
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD0BODY1LEGS6 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Pellegrino targets the head (83% of attacks) — Crane absorbs 83% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Pellegrino
RND
Crane
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Pellegrino · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0104.0L5.0W5.0W5.5L5.2W2.8L4.5W5.2W4.5W5.2W5.5L5.5L2006-072007-082008-092010-032011-03
WinLossTrend

Crane · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.4
0104.0L2.8L2007-082008-01
WinLossTrend

Pellegrino · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Gleison TibauRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 128: Shogun vs Jones · 2011-03
L · Dec · R3
George SotiropoulosRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin · 2010-07
W · Sub · R2
Fabricio CamoesRating 5.2
Submission
UFC 111: St-Pierre vs Hardy · 2010-03
W · Dec · R3
Josh NeerRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 101: Declaration · 2009-08
W · Sub · R2
Rob EmersonRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lauzon vs Stephens · 2009-02

Crane · Last 2

L · KO · R2
Kurt PellegrinoRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Swick vs Burkman · 2008-01
L · KO · R3
Roger HuertaRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC 74: Respect · 2007-08

News & Media

Kurt Pellegrino · Alberto Crane
← Back to fights