UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor
Las Vegas, USA
6 Oct 2018
Heavyweight
VS
50%
Lewis
50%
Volkov
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 4:49
Derrick
Derrick Lewis
"The Black Beast"
29 – 13
6'3"79" reachOrthodox41 yrsKnockout Artist
CFR 59
Alexander
Alexander Volkov
"Drago"
40 – 11
Well-Rounded2-fight win streak37 yrsOrthodox80" reach6'7"
CFR 60

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Lewis

This is a genuine toss-up — Lewis at 50% vs Volkov at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Lewis has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.

Volkov has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Lewis's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Volkov has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Lewis
Volkov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
+6'7"
79"
Reach
+80"
41
Age
+37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Lewis
Volkov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
59.2
60.2
57.5
Performance Avg
54.7
53
Quality of Victory
42
84
Momentum Score
88
Lewis
Volkov
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.8
56%
Strike Accuracy
58%
9.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.8
16 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
24
5
Body
9
0
Leg
8
RangeRange
10Distance36
0Clinch4
8Ground1
Lewis
Volkov
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
0.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.8
0.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Lewis
Volkov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
60
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
8
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.1 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
14 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
32/42 fights
Chin rating based on
19/51 fights
Lewis
Volkov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
84
88
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Upcoming
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Lewis
Volkov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
50%
16
KO / TKO Wins
6
0
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
7

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Lewis
Volkov
Striking9.3 / 5.8Volume2.9 / 5.5Grappling0.5 / 1.8Wrestling0.3 / 1.2Submission0.0 / 0.7Pressure7.5 / 5.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
0.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
0.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.7
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.7
2.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.5
Lewis
Strike Zones
Volkov
Lewis
Attacking
13HEAD5BODY0LEGS18 landed
Absorbing
24HEAD9BODY8LEGS41 absorbed
Volkov
Attacking
24HEAD9BODY8LEGS41 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD5BODY0LEGS18 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Lewis targets the head (72% of attacks) — Volkov absorbs 72% of strikes there
🎯Volkov targets the head (59% of attacks) — Lewis absorbs 59% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Lewis
RND
Volkov
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Lewis · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.0W5.0W1.5L5.2W2.8L5.5W5.0W5.0W4.5W5.4W5.1W3.4L5.9W4.9W6.8W2.1L2.1L4.5W4.5W5.1W6.1W4.5L5.3W3.2L2.7L2.0L5.6W7.3L5.6W6.2W4.3L2014-042016-072019-032022-072026-01
WinLossTrend

Volkov · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0104.5W4.5W5.2W5.4W5.2L4.5W6.4L5.2W5.1W7.2L4.9W3.9L6.1W5.8W5.7W5.7W7.2L6.3W6.0W2016-112019-112021-102024-062026-05
WinLossTrend

Lewis · Last 5

Upcoming
Josh Hokit
UFC Freedom 250 · 2026-06
L · KO · R2
Waldo Cortes AcostaRating 4.3
KO/TKO
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · KO · R1
Tallison TeixeiraRating 6.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
W · KO · R3
Rodrigo NascimentoRating 5.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05
L · Dec · R5
Jailton AlmeidaRating 7.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis · 2023-11

Volkov · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Waldo Cortes AcostaRating 6
Decision
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
W · Dec · R3
Jailton AlmeidaRating 6.3
Decision
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Ciryl GaneRating 7.2
Decision
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Sergei PavlovichRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
W · Sub · R2
Tai TuivasaRating 5.7
Submission
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09

News & Media

Derrick Lewis · Alexander Volkov
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