METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Hunt
Adelaide, Australia
9 May 2015
Flyweight
VS
32%
Ozkilic
68%
Nguyen
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:59
AO
CFR 8
★ Official Result
Ben NguyenwinsKO/TKOR1 · 4:59
def. Alptekin Ozkilic · UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Hunt
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Nguyen
→
Actual result
Nguyen wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Nguyen holds a meaningful edge at 68% per the CFR ratings — but Ozkilic has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Nguyen has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 23 points.
Striking split: Ozkilic throws more volume but Nguyen connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Ozkilic's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Nguyen has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
OzkilicNguyen
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Ozkilic
Nguyen
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
5'5"
65"
Reach
65"
40
Age
+37
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Ozkilic
Nguyen
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
8.4
17.6
25.0
Performance Avg
51.8
25
Quality of Victory
48
17
Momentum Score
33
Ozkilic
Nguyen
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
1.6
31%
Strike Accuracy
37%
0.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.6
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
18
2
Body
2
0
Leg
7
RangeRange
7Distance18
3Clinch1
5Ground8
Ozkilic
Nguyen
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
4.6
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.2
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Ozkilic
Nguyen
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
64
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/14 fights
Chin rating based on
7/24 fights
Ozkilic
Nguyen
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
17
33
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Ozkilic
Nguyen
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
75%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
2
1
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ozkilic
Nguyen
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.6
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
0.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.0
8.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.1
OzkilicNguyen
Strike Zones
Ozkilic
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
27 absorbedNguyen
Attacking
27 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ozkilic targets the head (87% of attacks) — Nguyen absorbs 87% of strikes there
🎯Nguyen targets the head (67% of attacks) — Ozkilic absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ozkilic
RND
Nguyen
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0
Ozkilic · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.9WinLossTrend
Nguyen · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Ozkilic · Last 4
L · KO · R1
Ben NguyenRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Hunt · 2015-05
L · KO · R3
John LinekerRating 4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Miller · 2014-07
L · Dec · R3
Louis SmolkaRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Philippou · 2014-01
W · Dec · R3
Darren UyenoyamaRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Benavidez 2 · 2013-12
Nguyen · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Wilson ReisRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Tuivasa · 2018-12
L · Sub · R3
Jussier FormigaRating 4Submission
UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold · 2018-02
W · Sub · R1
Tim ElliottRating 5.1Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Hunt · 2017-06
W · Dec · R3
Geane HerreraRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Brunson · 2016-11
L · KO · R2
Louis SmolkaRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: McDonald vs. Lineker · 2016-07