UFC 96: Jackson vs Jardine
Columbus, USA
7 Mar 2009
Light Heavyweight
VS
48%
Brilz
52%
Boetsch
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Boetsch
This is a genuine toss-up — Brilz at 48% vs Boetsch at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Boetsch has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Brilz's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Boetsch has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Brilz
Boetsch
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
71"
Reach
+74"
50
Age
+45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Brilz
Boetsch
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.2
16.6
38.1
Performance Avg
46.0
35
Quality of Victory
43
63
Momentum Score
69
Brilz
Boetsch
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.3
39%
Strike Accuracy
57%
4.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.8
1 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
5
2
Body
0
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance5
5Clinch0
2Ground0
Brilz
Boetsch
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.0
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Brilz
Boetsch
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
5
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/28 fights
Chin rating based on
24/34 fights
Brilz
Boetsch
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
69
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Brilz
Boetsch
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
58%
1
KO / TKO Wins
7
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Brilz
Boetsch
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.8
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.0
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.6
6.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.3
BrilzBoetsch
Strike Zones
Brilz
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedBoetsch
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Brilz targets the head (50% of attacks) — Boetsch absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Boetsch targets the head (100% of attacks) — Brilz absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Brilz
RND
Boetsch
0/0R00/0
Brilz · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Boetsch · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Brilz · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Ryan BaderRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 139: Shogun vs Henderson · 2011-11
L · KO · R1
Vladimir MatyushenkoRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields · 2011-04
L · Dec · R3
Rogerio NogueiraRating 5.5Decision
UFC 114: Rampage vs Evans · 2010-05
W · Dec · R3
Eric SchaferRating 4.5Decision
UFC Live: Vera vs Jones · 2010-03
L · Dec · R3
Eliot MarshallRating 5.5Decision
UFC 103: Franklin vs Belfort · 2009-09
Boetsch · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Omari AkhmedovRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos · 2019-03
L · Sub · R1
Antonio Carlos JuniorRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje · 2018-04
W · KO · R2
Johny HendricksRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee · 2017-06
L · Sub · R1
Jacare SouzaRating 1.5Submission
UFC 208: Holm vs. De Randamie · 2017-02
W · KO · R1
Rafael NatalRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 205: Alvarez vs McGregor · 2016-11