METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 96: Jackson vs Jardine
Columbus, USA
7 Mar 2009
Light Heavyweight
VS
48%
Brilz
52%
Boetsch
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Jason BrilzwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Tim Boetsch · UFC 96: Jackson vs Jardine
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Boetsch
→
Actual result
Brilz wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Brilz at 48% vs Boetsch at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Brilz's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Boetsch has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BrilzBoetsch
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Brilz
Boetsch
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
71"
Reach
+74"
51
Age
+45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Brilz
Boetsch
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.2
16.6
38.1
Performance Avg
46.0
35
Quality of Victory
43
63
Momentum Score
69
Brilz
Boetsch
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.2
/ 10
6.8
/ 10
3.6
Style: Pressure
5.6
6.2
Style: Volume
4.3
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
7 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
5
2
Body
0
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance5
5Clinch0
2Ground0
Brilz
Boetsch
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.6
/ 10
1.0
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Brilz
Boetsch
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
5
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/28 fights
Chin rating based on
24/34 fights
Brilz
Boetsch
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
69
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Brilz
Boetsch
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
58%
1
KO / TKO Wins
7
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Brilz
Boetsch
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.8
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.0
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.6
6.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.3
BrilzBoetsch
Strike Zones
Brilz
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedBoetsch
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Brilz targets the head (50% of attacks) — Boetsch absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Boetsch targets the head (100% of attacks) — Brilz absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Brilz
RND
Boetsch
0/0R00/0
Brilz · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Ryan BaderKO/TKO
UFC 139: Shogun vs Henderson · 2011-11
L · KO · R1
Vladimir MatyushenkoKO/TKO
UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields · 2011-04
L · Dec · R3
Rogerio NogueiraDecision
UFC 114: Rampage vs Evans · 2010-05
W · Dec · R3
Eric SchaferDecision
UFC Live: Vera vs Jones · 2010-03
L · Dec · R3
Eliot MarshallDecision
UFC 103: Franklin vs Belfort · 2009-09
Boetsch · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Omari AkhmedovDecision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos · 2019-03
L · Sub · R1
Antonio Carlos JuniorSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje · 2018-04
W · KO · R2
Johny HendricksKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee · 2017-06
L · Sub · R1
Jacare SouzaSubmission
UFC 208: Holm vs. De Randamie · 2017-02
W · KO · R1
Rafael NatalKO/TKO
UFC 205: Alvarez vs McGregor · 2016-11