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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 96: Jackson vs Jardine
Columbus, USA
7 Mar 2009
Light Heavyweight
VS
48%
Brilz
52%
Boetsch
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
JB
Jason Brilz
"Hitman"
22 – 6
5'11"71" reachOrthodox51 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 15
TB
Tim Boetsch
"The Barbarian"
21 – 13
Striker2-fight slide45 yrsOrthodox74" reach6'0"
CFR 17
★ Official Result
Jason BrilzwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Tim Boetsch · UFC 96: Jackson vs Jardine

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Boetsch
→
Actual result
Brilz wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Brilz at 48% vs Boetsch at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Boetsch has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Brilz's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Boetsch has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
BrilzBoetsch
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Brilz
Boetsch
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
71"
Reach
+74"
51
Age
+45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Brilz
Boetsch
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.2
16.6
38.1
Performance Avg
46.0
35
Quality of Victory
43
63
Momentum Score
69
Brilz
Boetsch
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.9
1.3
39%
Strike Accuracy
57%
4.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.8
1 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
5
2
Body
0
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance5
5Clinch0
2Ground0
Brilz
Boetsch
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.0
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Brilz
Boetsch
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
5
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/28 fights
Chin rating based on
24/34 fights
Brilz
Boetsch
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
69
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Brilz
Boetsch
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
58%
1
KO / TKO Wins
7
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Brilz
Boetsch
Striking4.2 / 6.8Volume6.2 / 4.3Grappling1.6 / 1.0Wrestling1.1 / 0.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure3.6 / 5.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.8
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.0
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.6
6.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.3
Brilz
Strike Zones
Boetsch
Brilz
Attacking
5HEAD2BODY3LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD0BODY0LEGS5 absorbed
Boetsch
Attacking
5HEAD0BODY0LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD2BODY3LEGS10 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Brilz targets the head (50% of attacks) — Boetsch absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Boetsch targets the head (100% of attacks) — Brilz absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Brilz
RND
Boetsch
0/0R00/0

Brilz · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.0
0105.2W4.5W5.5L4.5W5.5L1.5L1.5L2008-092009-092010-052011-11
WinLossTrend

Boetsch · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.0
0105.0W2.8L5.0W5.5L4.5W2.8L4.5W4.5W5.5W4.5W4.0L5.5L4.5W1.5L5.3W2.8L1.5L2.9L5.2W5.0W1.5L5.2W1.5L5.5L2008-022011-052013-102016-072019-03
WinLossTrend

Brilz · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Ryan BaderRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 139: Shogun vs Henderson · 2011-11
L · KO · R1
Vladimir MatyushenkoRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields · 2011-04
L · Dec · R3
Rogerio NogueiraRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 114: Rampage vs Evans · 2010-05
W · Dec · R3
Eric SchaferRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Live: Vera vs Jones · 2010-03
L · Dec · R3
Eliot MarshallRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 103: Franklin vs Belfort · 2009-09

Boetsch · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Omari AkhmedovRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos · 2019-03
L · Sub · R1
Antonio Carlos JuniorRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje · 2018-04
W · KO · R2
Johny HendricksRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee · 2017-06
L · Sub · R1
Jacare SouzaRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 208: Holm vs. De Randamie · 2017-02
W · KO · R1
Rafael NatalRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 205: Alvarez vs McGregor · 2016-11

News & Media

Jason Brilz · Tim Boetsch
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