UFC Fight Night: Cyborg vs. Lansberg
Brasilia, Brazil
24 Sept 2016
Flyweight
VS
46%
Formiga
54%
Ortiz
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
JF
Jussier Formiga
238
5'5"67" reachOrthodox41 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 15
DO
Dustin Ortiz
198
Well-Rounded37 yrsOrthodox65" reach5'5"
CFR 17

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Ortiz

This is a genuine toss-up — Formiga at 46% vs Ortiz at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Ortiz has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Formiga's chin rating of 6 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Formiga
Ortiz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
5'5"
67"+
Reach
65"
41
Age
+37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Formiga
Ortiz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.9
17.2
42.7
Performance Avg
47.8
34
Quality of Victory
42
64
Momentum Score
45
Formiga
Ortiz
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.6
1.2
40%
Strike Accuracy
43%
1.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.1
0 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
6
1
Body
1
3
Leg
1
RangeRange
5Distance5
1Clinch1
0Ground2
Formiga
Ortiz
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
4.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
3.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Formiga
Ortiz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
6
78
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
4
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Strikes absorbed / min
16/31 fights
Chin rating based on
14/27 fights
Formiga
Ortiz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
64
45
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
Formiga
Ortiz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
4
3
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Formiga
Ortiz
Striking1.1 / 6.1Volume6.5 / 5.1Grappling4.3 / 1.2Wrestling3.0 / 0.8Submission3.3 / 0.0Pressure4.0 / 5.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.1
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.2
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.1
Formiga
Strike Zones
Ortiz
Formiga
Attacking
2HEAD1BODY3LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD1BODY1LEGS8 absorbed
Ortiz
Attacking
6HEAD1BODY1LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD1BODY3LEGS6 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Formiga targets the legs (50% of attacks) — Ortiz absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Ortiz targets the head (75% of attacks) — Formiga absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Formiga
RND
Ortiz
0/0R00/0

Formiga · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0102.8L4.5W1.5L5.0W4.5W4.5W7.0L4.5W5.5L5.0W5.5W4.5W5.6W2.8L6.4L2.8L2012-102014-082017-032019-032020-06
WinLossTrend

Ortiz · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0105.5W5.5L4.5W4.5W5.5L5.5W5.5L5.5L4.5W3.6L5.0W5.8W5.2W5.5L2013-112014-112016-122018-072019-01
WinLossTrend

Formiga · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Alex PerezRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer · 2020-06
L · Dec · R3
Brandon MorenoRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · 2020-03
L · KO · R2
Joseph BenavidezRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06
W · Dec · R3
Deiveson FigueiredoRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Pettis · 2019-03
W · Dec · R3
Sergio PettisRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor · 2018-10

Ortiz · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Joseph BenavidezRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw · 2019-01
W · KO · R1
Matheus NicolauRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2 · 2018-07
W · Dec · R3
Alexandre PantojaRating 5.8
Decision
UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2018-01
W · KO · R1
Hector SandovalRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Moreno · 2017-08
L · Sub · R2
Brandon MorenoRating 3.6
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lobov · 2017-04

News & Media

Jussier Formiga · Dustin Ortiz
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