METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou
Las Vegas, USA
27 Mar 2021
Welterweight
VS
24%
Woodley
76%
Luque
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 3:56
★ Official Result
Vicente LuquewinsSubmissionR1 · 3:56
def. Tyron Woodley · UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Luque
→
Actual result
Luque wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Luque is a strong favourite at 76% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 41 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Woodley's chin rating of 58 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Luque has a chin rating of 32 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
WoodleyLuque
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Woodley
Luque
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'11"
74"
Reach
+75"
44
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Woodley
Luque
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.4
59.9
58.9
Performance Avg
56.1
58
Quality of Victory
50
40
Momentum Score
79
Woodley
Luque
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.8
/ 10
5.4
/ 10
6.5
Style: Pressure
7.7
3.9
Style: Volume
2.3
5 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
7 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
15
10
Body
10
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
8Distance16
10Clinch9
0Ground0
Woodley
Luque
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.7
/ 10
3.6
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.5
1.1
Submission Style (/10)
4.1
1
Submission wins
7
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Woodley
Luque
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
58
32
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R5.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/26 fights
Chin rating based on
26/36 fights
Woodley
Luque
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
79
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R5
L · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
Woodley
Luque
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
82%
5
KO / TKO Wins
7
1
Submission Wins
7
3
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Woodley
Luque
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.4
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.6
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.5
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.1
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.7
3.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.3
WoodleyLuque
Strike Zones
Woodley
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
25 absorbedLuque
Attacking
25 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Woodley targets the body (56% of attacks) — Luque absorbs 56% of strikes there
🎯Luque targets the head (60% of attacks) — Woodley absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Woodley
RND
Luque
0/0R00/0
Woodley · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Vicente LuqueSubmission
UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2021-03
L · KO · R5
Colby CovingtonKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09
L · Dec · R5
Gilbert BurnsDecision
UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns · 2020-05
L · Dec · R5
Kamaru UsmanDecision
UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith · 2019-03
W · Sub · R2
Darren TillSubmission
UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till · 2018-09
Luque · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Tresean GoreDecision
UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry · 2026-08
W · Sub · R1
Kelvin GastelumSubmission
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Joel AlvarezDecision
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
L · Sub · R2
Kevin HollandSubmission
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
W · Sub · R1
Themba GorimboSubmission
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12