UFC 211: Miocic vs. Dos Santos
Dallas, USA
13 May 2017
Featherweight
VS
28%
Edgar
72%
Rodriguez
Win Probability
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Rodriguez
Rodriguez is a strong favourite at 72% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 41 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Rodriguez has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Rodriguez has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Edgar's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Rodriguez has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Edgar
Rodriguez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'11"
68"
Reach
+71"
44
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Edgar
Rodriguez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
25.4
66.4
48.0
Performance Avg
60.2
39
Quality of Victory
51
68
Momentum Score
100
Edgar
Rodriguez
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.5
45%
Strike Accuracy
48%
3.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.1
4 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
28
Head
6
4
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
0Clinch0
31Ground6
Edgar
Rodriguez
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.0
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.0
1.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Edgar
Rodriguez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
62
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
5
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.4 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
30/34 fights
Chin rating based on
16/27 fights
Edgar
Rodriguez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
68
100
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R1
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
Edgar
Rodriguez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
46%
4
KO / TKO Wins
4
2
Submission Wins
1
12
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Edgar
Rodriguez
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.1
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.0
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.9
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.4
6.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.8
EdgarRodriguez
Strike Zones
Edgar
Attacking
32 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedRodriguez
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
32 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Edgar targets the head (88% of attacks) — Rodriguez absorbs 88% of strikes there
🎯Rodriguez targets the head (100% of attacks) — Edgar absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Edgar
RND
Rodriguez
0/0R00/0
Edgar · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Rodriguez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Edgar · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Chris GutierrezRating 2KO/TKO
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11
L · KO · R3
Marlon VeraRating 4.8KO/TKO
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · 2021-11
L · KO · R1
Cory SandhagenRating 3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov · 2021-02
W · Dec · R5
Pedro MunhozRating 5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Munhoz vs. Edgar · 2020-08
L · KO · R1
Chan Sung JungRating 2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. The Korean Zombie · 2019-12
Rodriguez · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Patricio PitbullRating 4.5Decision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
L · Sub · R3
Brian OrtegaRating 4.1Submission
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · 2024-02
L · KO · R3
Alexander VolkanovskiRating 4.2KO/TKO
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · 2023-07
W · Sub · R2
Josh EmmettRating 5.2Submission
UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski · 2023-02
W · KO · R1
Brian OrtegaRating 6.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · 2022-07