UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith
Las Vegas, USA
2 Mar 2019
Bantamweight
VS
56%
Garbrandt
44%
Munhoz
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:52
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Garbrandt
This is a genuine toss-up — Garbrandt at 56% vs Munhoz at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Munhoz throws more volume but Garbrandt connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Garbrandt's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Garbrandt
Munhoz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'6"
65"
Reach
65"
34+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Garbrandt
Munhoz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
56.6
44.0
51.6
Performance Avg
46.2
47
Quality of Victory
44
97
Momentum Score
43
Garbrandt
Munhoz
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
2.0
43%
Strike Accuracy
42%
7.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.0
6 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
19
Head
16
1
Body
3
1
Leg
6
RangeRange
20Distance18
0Clinch1
1Ground6
Garbrandt
Munhoz
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.4
0.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Garbrandt
Munhoz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
80
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
4
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
—
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/22 fights
Chin rating based on
22/30 fights
Garbrandt
Munhoz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
97
43
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Garbrandt
Munhoz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
60%
6
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
3
4
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Garbrandt
Munhoz
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.0
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.4
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.0
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.7
4.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.2
GarbrandtMunhoz
Strike Zones
Garbrandt
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
25 absorbedMunhoz
Attacking
25 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Garbrandt targets the head (90% of attacks) — Munhoz absorbs 90% of strikes there
🎯Munhoz targets the head (64% of attacks) — Garbrandt absorbs 64% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Garbrandt
RND
Munhoz
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Garbrandt · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Munhoz · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Garbrandt · Last 5
Upcoming
Adrian YanezUFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
W · Dec · R3
Xiao LongRating 5.3Decision
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
L · Dec · R3
Raoni BarcelosRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
L · Sub · R2
Deiveson FigueiredoRating 3.8Submission
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · KO · R1
Brian KelleherRating 5.3KO/TKO
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12
Munhoz · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Aiemann ZahabiRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
Kyler PhillipsRating 6.2Decision
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
L · Dec · R3
Marlon VeraRating 6.3Decision
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08
W · Dec · R3
Chris GutierrezRating 5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04
Upcoming
Sean O'MalleyUFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier · 2022-07

