UFC 112: Invincible
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
10 Apr 2010
Welterweight
VS
54%
Osipczak
46%
Story
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Osipczak
This is a genuine toss-up — Osipczak at 54% vs Story at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Osipczak has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.
Osipczak has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Story has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Osipczak
Story
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
5'9"
76"+
Reach
71"
41
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Osipczak
Story
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.1
17.0
47.2
Performance Avg
46.0
52
Quality of Victory
35
59
Momentum Score
65
Osipczak
Story
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.2
52%
Strike Accuracy
42%
5.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.9
1 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
2
9
Body
5
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance2
11Clinch5
0Ground0
Osipczak
Story
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
4.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.9
2.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Osipczak
Story
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
56
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/9 fights
Chin rating based on
19/28 fights
Osipczak
Story
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
65
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Osipczak
Story
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
33%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
2
0
Decision Wins
8
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Osipczak
Story
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.9
4.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.9
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.7
8.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.2
0.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.6
OsipczakStory
Strike Zones
Osipczak
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedStory
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Osipczak targets the body (60% of attacks) — Story absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Story targets the body (71% of attacks) — Osipczak absorbs 71% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Osipczak
RND
Story
0/0R00/0
Osipczak · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Story · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Osipczak · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Duane LudwigRating 5.5Decision
UFC 122: Marquardt vs Okami · 2010-11
L · Dec · R3
Greg SotoRating 5.5Decision
UFC 118: Edgar vs Penn 2 · 2010-08
L · Dec · R3
Rick StoryRating 5.5Decision
UFC 112: Invincible · 2010-04
W · KO · R3
Matthew RiddleRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 105: Couture vs Vera · 2009-11
W · Sub · R1
Frank LesterRating 5Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: United States vs. United Kingdom Finale · 2009-06
Story · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Donald CerroneRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2 · 2016-08
W · Dec · R3
Tarec SaffiedineRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt · 2016-05
W · Dec · R5
Gunnar NelsonRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story · 2014-10
W · Sub · R2
Leonardo MafraRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Miller · 2014-07
L · Dec · R3
Kelvin GastelumRating 5.8Decision
UFC 171: Hendricks vs Lawler · 2014-03