UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier
Las Vegas, USA
23 May 2015
Flyweight
VS
47%
Benavidez
53%
Moraga
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
JB
Joseph Benavidez
28 – 8
5'4"65" reachSouthpaw41 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 16
JM
John Moraga
19 – 7
Well-Rounded42 yrsOrthodox66" reach5'6"
CFR 18

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Moraga

This is a genuine toss-up — Benavidez at 47% vs Moraga at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Benavidez throws more volume but Moraga connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Benavidez's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Moraga has a chin rating of 58 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Benavidez
Moraga
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
+5'6"
65"
Reach
+66"
41+
Age
42
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Benavidez
Moraga
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.0
18.3
51.4
Performance Avg
47.9
38
Quality of Victory
42
40
Momentum Score
64
Benavidez
Moraga
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
1.0
37%
Strike Accuracy
47%
4.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.6
5 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
18
Head
8
4
Body
2
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
12Distance7
1Clinch3
12Ground0
Benavidez
Moraga
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.9
1.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Benavidez
Moraga
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
58
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/36 fights
Chin rating based on
14/26 fights
Benavidez
Moraga
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
64
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Benavidez
Moraga
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
63%
5
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
3
9
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Benavidez
Moraga
Striking4.8 / 3.6Volume6.2 / 4.1Grappling2.0 / 3.9Wrestling1.4 / 2.7Submission0.7 / 3.8Pressure4.9 / 6.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.9
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.7
0.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.8
4.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.1
6.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.1
Benavidez
Strike Zones
Moraga
Benavidez
Attacking
18HEAD4BODY3LEGS25 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD2BODY0LEGS10 absorbed
Moraga
Attacking
8HEAD2BODY0LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
18HEAD4BODY3LEGS25 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Benavidez targets the head (72% of attacks) — Moraga absorbs 72% of strikes there
🎯Moraga targets the head (80% of attacks) — Benavidez absorbs 80% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Benavidez
RND
Moraga
0/0R00/0

Benavidez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0104.5W4.5W5.2W5.5L4.5W5.2W5.0W1.5L5.1W4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W6.0W5.5L6.3W4.5W5.2W3.2L2.6L5.5L2011-032013-092016-022020-022021-03
WinLossTrend

Moraga · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.0W5.5W4.0L4.5W4.8L5.2W5.5W5.5L5.7L5.5L4.5W5.0W4.5W3.8L2012-082014-062016-072018-042018-08
WinLossTrend

Benavidez · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Askar AskarovRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya · 2021-03
L · Sub · R1
Deiveson FigueiredoRating 2.6
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Figueiredo vs. Benavidez 2 · 2020-07
L · KO · R2
Deiveson FigueiredoRating 3.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Benavidez vs. Figueiredo · 2020-02
W · KO · R2
Jussier FormigaRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06
W · Dec · R3
Dustin OrtizRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw · 2019-01

Moraga · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Deiveson FigueiredoRating 3.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick · 2018-08
W · Dec · R3
Wilson ReisRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje · 2018-04
W · KO · R1
Magomed BibulatovRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee · 2017-10
W · Dec · R3
Ashkan MokhtarianRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Hunt · 2017-06
L · Dec · R3
Sergio PettisRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Penn · 2017-01

News & Media

Joseph Benavidez · John Moraga
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