UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley
Las Vegas, USA
19 Sept 2020
Bantamweight
VS
60%
Ewell
40%
Rivera
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Ewell
Ewell holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Rivera has real paths to victory.
Key angles
Rivera has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Ewell's chin rating of 40 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Ewell
Rivera
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'6"
75"+
Reach
67"
38
Age
+37
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Ewell
Rivera
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.9
11.3
32.8
Performance Avg
28.3
25
Quality of Victory
25
35
Momentum Score
33
Ewell
Rivera
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.6
40%
Strike Accuracy
50%
0.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
35
Head
25
14
Body
10
6
Leg
6
RangeRange
53Distance36
2Clinch1
0Ground4
Ewell
Rivera
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Ewell
Rivera
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
40
96
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/26 fights
Chin rating based on
3/16 fights
Ewell
Rivera
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
35
33
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Ewell
Rivera
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ewell
Rivera
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
8.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
EwellRivera
Strike Zones
Ewell
Attacking
55 landedAbsorbing
41 absorbedRivera
Attacking
41 landedAbsorbing
55 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ewell targets the head (64% of attacks) — Rivera absorbs 64% of strikes there
🎯Rivera targets the head (61% of attacks) — Ewell absorbs 61% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ewell
RND
Rivera
0/0R00/0
Ewell · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Rivera · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Ewell · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Charles JourdainRating 6.3Decision
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L · KO · R2
Julio ArceRating 3.5KO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
Chris GutierrezRating 6Decision
UFC 258: Usman vs. Burns · 2021-02
W · Dec · R3
Irwin RiveraRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09
W · Dec · R3
Jonathan MartinezRating 5Decision
UFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes · 2020-02
Rivera · Last 3
L · Dec · R3
Andre EwellRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09
W · Dec · R3
Ali AlQaisiRating 4.5Decision
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L · Dec · R3
Giga ChikadzeRating 6.5Decision
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