UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade
Las Vegas, USA
23 Apr 2022
Women's Strawweight
VS
52%
Lemos
48%
Andrade
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 3:13
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Lemos
This is a genuine toss-up — Lemos at 52% vs Andrade at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Andrade throws more volume but Lemos connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Lemos's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Andrade has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Lemos
Andrade
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"+
Height
5'1"
65"+
Reach
62"
39
Age
+34
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Lemos
Andrade
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
56.2
51.0
49.6
Performance Avg
49.4
43
Quality of Victory
45
85
Momentum Score
79
Lemos
Andrade
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
3.1
56%
Strike Accuracy
52%
4.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.7
3 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
0
0
Body
1
3
Leg
2
RangeRange
7Distance3
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Lemos
Andrade
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.5
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Lemos
Andrade
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
4
2
Sub Losses
5
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
14 fights ago
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/21 fights
Chin rating based on
30/41 fights
Lemos
Andrade
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
79
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Lemos
Andrade
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
56%
53%
3
KO / TKO Wins
6
2
Submission Wins
3
4
Decision Wins
8
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Lemos
Andrade
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.7
2.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.5
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
2.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.8
5.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.4
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.9
LemosAndrade
Strike Zones
Lemos
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedAndrade
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Lemos targets the head (57% of attacks) — Andrade absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Andrade targets the legs (67% of attacks) — Lemos absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Lemos
RND
Andrade
0/0R00/0
Lemos · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Andrade · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Lemos · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Gillian RobertsonRating 6.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
L · Dec · R3
Tatiana SuarezRating 7.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Iasmin LucindoRating 5.4Decision
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03
L · Sub · R2
Virna JandirobaRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba · 2024-07
W · Dec · R3
Mackenzie DernRating 5.7Decision
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
Andrade · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Loopy GodinezRating 6Decision
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
L · Sub · R1
Jasmine JasudaviciusRating 2.4Submission
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
L · Dec · R3
Natalia SilvaRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09
W · Dec · R3
Marina RodriguezRating 5.2Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · KO · R2
Mackenzie DernRating 6.5KO/TKO
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · 2023-11

