METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee
Oklahoma City, USA
25 Jun 2017
Featherweight
VS
61%
Penn
39%
Siver
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Dennis SiverwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. BJ Penn · UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Penn
→
Actual result
Siver wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Penn holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Siver has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Penn has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 26 points.
Striking split: Siver throws more volume but Penn connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Penn's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Siver has a chin rating of 4 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PennSiver
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Penn
Siver
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'6"
70"
Reach
70"
47
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Penn
Siver
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.2
14.3
56.9
Performance Avg
46.1
63
Quality of Victory
37
100
Momentum Score
43
Penn
Siver
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
1.5
51%
Strike Accuracy
34%
6.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.7
6 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
32
1
Body
3
0
Leg
21
RangeRange
14Distance56
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Penn
Siver
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.7
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Penn
Siver
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
4
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
27/30 fights
Chin rating based on
21/34 fights
Penn
Siver
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
43
7-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Penn
Siver
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
83%
42%
6
KO / TKO Wins
3
4
Submission Wins
2
2
Decision Wins
7
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Penn
Siver
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.7
2.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.7
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.9
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.7
7.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
1.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.9
PennSiver
Strike Zones
Penn
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
56 absorbedSiver
Attacking
56 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Penn targets the head (93% of attacks) — Siver absorbs 93% of strikes there
🎯Siver targets the head (57% of attacks) — Penn absorbs 57% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Penn
RND
Siver
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Penn · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Siver · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Penn · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Clay GuidaRating 6Decision
UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade · 2019-05
L · Sub · R1
Ryan HallRating 1.5Submission
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · 2018-12
L · Dec · R3
Dennis SiverRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee · 2017-06
L · KO · R2
Yair RodriguezRating 3.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Penn · 2017-01
L · KO · R3
Frankie EdgarRating 2.8KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Edgar vs. Team Penn Finale · 2014-07
Siver · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
BJ PennRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee · 2017-06
L · Dec · R3
Tatsuya KawajiriRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Jedrzejczyk vs Penne · 2015-06
L · KO · R2
Conor McGregorRating 4.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver · 2015-01
W · Dec · R3
Charles RosaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story · 2014-10
Upcoming
Manvel GamburyanUFC 168: Weidman vs Silva 2 · 2013-12