UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Bisping
Sydney, Australia
7 Nov 2014
Middleweight
VS
40%
Zachrich
60%
Kelly
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:27
LZ
Luke Zachrich
14 – 4
6'2"74" reachOrthodox44 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 11
DK
Daniel Kelly
13 – 4
Well-Rounded3-fight slide48 yrsSouthpaw70" reach6'0"
CFR 16

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Kelly

Kelly holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Zachrich has real paths to victory.

Key angles

Striking split: Zachrich throws more volume but Kelly connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Zachrich's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Kelly has a chin rating of 32 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Zachrich
Kelly
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'0"
74"+
Reach
70"
44+
Age
48
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Zachrich
Kelly
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
10.5
16.0
28.3
Performance Avg
44.4
25
Quality of Victory
34
33
Momentum Score
65
Zachrich
Kelly
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.3
1.8
36%
Strike Accuracy
41%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.9
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
20
Head
19
0
Body
1
3
Leg
5
RangeRange
20Distance19
3Clinch5
0Ground1
Zachrich
Kelly
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
2.9
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.7
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Zachrich
Kelly
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
32
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/18 fights
Chin rating based on
10/17 fights
Zachrich
Kelly
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
33
65
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Zachrich
Kelly
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
33%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Zachrich
Kelly
Striking0.7 / 2.9Volume8.7 / 6.5Grappling2.4 / 2.9Wrestling1.7 / 2.0Submission0.0 / 1.7Pressure1.0 / 4.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.9
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.9
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.7
1.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.1
8.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.5
Zachrich
Strike Zones
Kelly
Zachrich
Attacking
20HEAD0BODY3LEGS23 landed
Absorbing
19HEAD1BODY5LEGS25 absorbed
Kelly
Attacking
19HEAD1BODY5LEGS25 landed
Absorbing
20HEAD0BODY3LEGS23 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Zachrich targets the head (87% of attacks) — Kelly absorbs 87% of strikes there
🎯Kelly targets the head (76% of attacks) — Zachrich absorbs 76% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Zachrich
RND
Kelly
0/0R00/0

Zachrich · QOF Timeline

Avg: 2.5
0101.5L4.5W1.5L2014-042014-072014-11
WinLossTrend

Kelly · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.9
0105.0W4.5W1.5L4.5W5.5W4.5W4.5W1.8L5.5L1.5L2014-112015-112017-032018-05
WinLossTrend

Zachrich · Last 3

L · Sub · R1
Daniel KellyRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Bisping · 2014-11
W · Dec · R3
Guilherme VasconcelosRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 175: Weidman vs Machida · 2014-07
L · KO · R1
Caio MagalhaesRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Werdum vs Browne · 2014-04

Kelly · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Tom BreeseRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Till · 2018-05
L · Dec · R3
Elias TheodorouRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tybura · 2017-11
L · KO · R1
Derek BrunsonRating 1.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Hunt · 2017-06
W · Dec · R3
Rashad EvansRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2 · 2017-03
W · Dec · R3
Chris CamozziRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Brunson · 2016-11

News & Media

Luke Zachrich · Daniel Kelly
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