METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza
Las Vegas, USA
14 Oct 2023
Featherweight
VS
61%
Elkins
39%
Brown
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 2:23
★ Official Result
Darren ElkinswinsSubmissionR3 · 2:23
def. TJ Brown · UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Elkins
→
Actual result
Elkins wins
Submission · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Elkins holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Brown has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Elkins's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Brown has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ElkinsBrown
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Elkins
Brown
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'9"
71"
Reach
+72"
42
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Elkins
Brown
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
44.3
27.8
45.5
Performance Avg
34.0
35
Quality of Victory
32
66
Momentum Score
40
Elkins
Brown
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.3
/ 10
0.8
/ 10
4.4
Style: Pressure
3.5
6.3
Style: Volume
6.1
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
2
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Elkins
Brown
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.8
/ 10
4.3
/ 10
1.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.0
1.6
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
3
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Elkins
Brown
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
60
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
5
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.4 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
31/41 fights
Chin rating based on
8/28 fights
Elkins
Brown
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
66
40
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Elkins
Brown
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
37%
33%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
1
12
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Elkins
Brown
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
2.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
1.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
1.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
4.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.1
ElkinsBrown
Strike Zones
Elkins
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedBrown
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Elkins targets the head (100% of attacks) — Brown absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Brown targets the head (100% of attacks) — Elkins absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Elkins
RND
Brown
0/0R00/0
Elkins · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Yadier del ValleKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs. Salkilld · 2026-08
L · KO · R1
Julian ErosaKO/TKO
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Dec · R3
Daniel PinedaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10
W · Sub · R3
TJ BrownSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10
L · Dec · R3
Jonathan PearceDecision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
Brown · Last 5
L · Sub · R3
Darren ElkinsSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10
L · Sub · R2
Bill AlgeoSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04
W · Sub · R3
Erik SilvaSubmission
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev · 2022-12
L · Dec · R3
Shayilan NuerdanbiekeDecision
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot · 2022-06
W · Dec · R3
Charles RosaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze · 2022-01