METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze
Las Vegas, USA
15 Jan 2022
Lightweight
VS
59%
Brown
41%
Rosa
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
TJ BrownwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Charles Rosa · UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Brown
→
Actual result
Brown wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Brown at 59% vs Rosa at 41% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Brown's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Rosa has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BrownRosa
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Brown
Rosa
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
5'9"
72"+
Reach
69"
36+
Age
40
Switch
Stance
Switch
Brown
Rosa
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
27.8
19.4
34.0
Performance Avg
36.3
32
Quality of Victory
35
40
Momentum Score
20
Brown
Rosa
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.8
/ 10
0.8
/ 10
3.5
Style: Pressure
4.0
6.1
Style: Volume
5.6
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
3
0
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance1
0Clinch1
2Ground1
Brown
Rosa
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.3
/ 10
4.6
/ 10
3.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.3
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
4.0
1
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Brown
Rosa
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
64
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
8 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/28 fights
Chin rating based on
13/22 fights
Brown
Rosa
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
20
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Brown
Rosa
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
40%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
2
2
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Brown
Rosa
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.6
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.3
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.0
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.0
6.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.6
BrownRosa
Strike Zones
Brown
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedRosa
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Brown targets the head (86% of attacks) — Rosa absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Rosa targets the head (100% of attacks) — Brown absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Brown
RND
Rosa
0/0R00/0
Brown · Last 5
L · Sub · R3
Darren ElkinsSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10
L · Sub · R2
Bill AlgeoSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04
W · Sub · R3
Erik SilvaSubmission
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev · 2022-12
L · Dec · R3
Shayilan NuerdanbiekeDecision
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot · 2022-06
W · Dec · R3
Charles RosaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze · 2022-01
Rosa · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Nathaniel WoodDecision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall · 2022-07
L · Dec · R3
TJ BrownDecision
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze · 2022-01
L · Dec · R3
Damon JacksonDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Rodriguez · 2021-10
W · Dec · R3
Justin JaynesDecision
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov · 2021-06
L · Dec · R3
Darrick MinnerDecision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis · 2021-02