METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Dodson
Portland, USA
1 Oct 2016
Lightweight
VS
22%
Brooks
78%
Oliveira
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 3:30
★ Official Result
Alex OliveirawinsKO/TKOR3 · 3:30
def. Will Brooks · UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Dodson
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Oliveira
→
Actual result
Oliveira wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Oliveira is a strong favourite at 78% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 22 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Oliveira has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.
Risk flags
Brooks's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Oliveira has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BrooksOliveira
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Brooks
Oliveira
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+5'11"
72"
Reach
+76"
39
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Brooks
Oliveira
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
8.4
29.9
25.0
Performance Avg
46.5
25
Quality of Victory
43
17
Momentum Score
100
Brooks
Oliveira
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.5
/ 10
4.7
/ 10
0.8
Style: Pressure
6.0
8.5
Style: Volume
4.0
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
11
0
Body
3
4
Leg
4
RangeRange
4Distance0
0Clinch6
0Ground12
Brooks
Oliveira
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
3.0
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.1
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.7
0
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Brooks
Oliveira
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
2
Sub Losses
5
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/22 fights
Chin rating based on
22/34 fights
Brooks
Oliveira
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
17
100
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Brooks
Oliveira
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
64%
0
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
3
1
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Brooks
Oliveira
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.7
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.7
0.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.0
8.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.0
BrooksOliveira
Strike Zones
Brooks
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedOliveira
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Brooks targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Oliveira absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Oliveira targets the head (61% of attacks) — Brooks absorbs 61% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Brooks
RND
Oliveira
0/0R00/0
Brooks · Last 4
L · Sub · R2
Nik LentzSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tybura · 2017-11
L · Sub · R1
Charles OliveiraSubmission
UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2 · 2017-04
L · KO · R3
Alex OliveiraKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Dodson · 2016-10
W · Dec · R3
Ross PearsonDecision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Joanna vs. Team Cláudia Finale · 2016-07
Oliveira · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Kevin HollandKO/TKO
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal · 2022-03
L · Dec · R3
Niko PriceDecision
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker · 2021-10
L · Sub · R1
Randy BrownSubmission
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2 · 2021-04
L · Sub · R1
Shavkat RakhmonovSubmission
UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje · 2020-10
W · Dec · R3
Peter SobottaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07