UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic
Las Vegas, USA
29 Aug 2020
Featherweight
VS
35%
Lamas
65%
Algeo
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Algeo
Algeo holds a meaningful edge at 65% per the CFR ratings — but Lamas has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Algeo throws more volume but Lamas connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Lamas's chin rating of 28 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Algeo has a chin rating of 50 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Lamas
Algeo
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+6'0"
71"
Reach
+73"
44
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Lamas
Algeo
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.7
39.1
52.0
Performance Avg
41.5
44
Quality of Victory
36
98
Momentum Score
51
Lamas
Algeo
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
1.9
54%
Strike Accuracy
49%
4.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.0
4 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
28
Head
7
3
Body
3
3
Leg
4
RangeRange
5Distance12
1Clinch0
28Ground2
Lamas
Algeo
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.4
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.0
2.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Lamas
Algeo
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
28
50
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/28 fights
Chin rating based on
10/27 fights
Lamas
Algeo
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
98
51
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Lamas
Algeo
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
64%
40%
4
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Lamas
Algeo
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.0
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.0
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
2.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
6.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.3
4.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.8
LamasAlgeo
Strike Zones
Lamas
Attacking
34 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedAlgeo
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
34 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Lamas targets the head (82% of attacks) — Algeo absorbs 82% of strikes there
🎯Algeo targets the head (50% of attacks) — Lamas absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Lamas
RND
Algeo
0/0R00/0
Lamas · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Algeo · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Lamas · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Bill AlgeoRating 4.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic · 2020-08
L · KO · R1
Calvin KattarRating 2KO/TKO
UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes · 2019-06
W · KO · R3
Darren ElkinsRating 6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponzinibbio · 2018-11
L · Dec · R3
Mirsad BekticRating 5.5Decision
UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2 · 2018-06
L · KO · R1
Josh EmmettRating 1.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos Anjos · 2017-12
Algeo · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Dooho ChoiRating 4.5KO/TKO
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L · KO · R1
Kyle NelsonRating 1.6KO/TKO
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W · Dec · R3
Alexander HernandezRating 5.4Decision
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W · Sub · R2
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L · Dec · R3
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