METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 73: Stacked
Sacramento, USA
7 Jul 2007
Welterweight
VS
90%
Lytle
10%
Gilliam
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:15
★ Official Result
Chris LytlewinsSubmissionR1 · 2:15
def. Jason Gilliam · UFC 73: Stacked
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Lytle
→
Actual result
Lytle wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Lytle is a strong favourite at 90% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Lytle has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 44 points.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
LytleGilliam
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Lytle
Gilliam
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
68"
Reach
52+
Age
53
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Lytle
Gilliam
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.3
2.1
46.2
Performance Avg
0.0
44
Quality of Victory
0
56
Momentum Score
0
Lytle
Gilliam
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.0
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
6.4
Style: Pressure
0.0
3.4
Style: Volume
0.0
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
0
2
Body
3
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance2
0Clinch1
2Ground0
Lytle
Gilliam
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.5
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
3.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
6.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
6
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Lytle
Gilliam
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
80
76
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
2
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/49 fights
Chin rating based on
2/23 fights
Lytle
Gilliam
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
56
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
Lytle
Gilliam
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
70%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
6
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Lytle
Gilliam
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
5.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
6.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
3.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
LytleGilliam
Strike Zones
Lytle
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedGilliam
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Lytle targets the head (40% of attacks) — Gilliam absorbs 40% of strikes there
🎯Gilliam targets the body (100% of attacks) — Lytle absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Lytle
RND
Gilliam
0/0R00/0
Lytle · Last 5
W · Sub · R3
Dan HardySubmission
UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle · 2011-08
L · Dec · R3
Brian EbersoleDecision
UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch · 2011-02
W · Dec · R3
Matt SerraDecision
UFC 119: Mir vs Cro Cop · 2010-09
W · Sub · R2
Matt BrownSubmission
UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin · 2010-07
W · Sub · R1
Brian FosterSubmission
UFC 110: Nogueira vs Velasquez · 2010-02
Gilliam · Last 2
L · Sub · R1
Chris LytleSubmission
UFC 73: Stacked · 2007-07
L · Sub · R1
Jamie VarnerSubmission
UFC 68: The Uprising · 2007-03