UFC 73: Stacked
Sacramento, USA
7 Jul 2007
Welterweight
VS
90%
Lytle
10%
Gilliam
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:15
CL
Chris Lytle
"Lights Out"
31 – 18
5'11"68" reachOrthodox51 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 18
JG
Jason Gilliam
14 – 9
Well-Rounded2-fight slide53 yrsOrthodox6'0"
CFR 2

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Lytle

Lytle is a strong favourite at 90% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Lytle has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 44 points.

Lytle has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Lytle
Gilliam
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
68"
Reach
51+
Age
53
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Lytle
Gilliam
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.3
2.1
46.2
Performance Avg
0.0
44
Quality of Victory
0
56
Momentum Score
0
Lytle
Gilliam
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
0.6
42%
Strike Accuracy
33%
2.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
0
2
Body
3
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance2
0Clinch1
2Ground0
Lytle
Gilliam
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.4
Sub Attempts / fight
3.0
5.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
3.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Lytle
Gilliam
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
80
76
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
2
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/49 fights
Chin rating based on
2/23 fights
Lytle
Gilliam
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
56
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
Lytle
Gilliam
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
70%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
6
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Lytle
Gilliam
Striking2.0 / 0.0Volume3.4 / 0.0Grappling5.5 / 0.0Wrestling3.9 / 0.0Submission6.0 / 0.0Pressure6.4 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
5.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
6.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
3.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Lytle
Strike Zones
Gilliam
Lytle
Attacking
2HEAD2BODY1LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD3BODY0LEGS3 absorbed
Gilliam
Attacking
0HEAD3BODY0LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD2BODY1LEGS5 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Lytle targets the head (40% of attacks) — Gilliam absorbs 40% of strikes there
🎯Gilliam targets the body (100% of attacks) — Lytle absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Lytle
RND
Gilliam
0/0R00/0

Lytle · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0104.8L5.8L5.2W5.2W5.5L4.8L5.5L5.5L5.0W4.8L5.0W5.5L4.5W5.5L4.5W5.0W5.6W4.5W5.5L5.5W2000-112005-102008-022010-022011-08
WinLossTrend

Gilliam · QOF Timeline

Avg: 1.5
0101.5L1.5L2007-032007-07
WinLossTrend

Lytle · Last 5

W · Sub · R3
Dan HardyRating 5.5
Submission
UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle · 2011-08
L · Dec · R3
Brian EbersoleRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch · 2011-02
W · Dec · R3
Matt SerraRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 119: Mir vs Cro Cop · 2010-09
W · Sub · R2
Matt BrownRating 5.6
Submission
UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin · 2010-07
W · Sub · R1
Brian FosterRating 5
Submission
UFC 110: Nogueira vs Velasquez · 2010-02

Gilliam · Last 2

L · Sub · R1
Chris LytleRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 73: Stacked · 2007-07
L · Sub · R1
Jamie VarnerRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 68: The Uprising · 2007-03

News & Media

Chris Lytle · Jason Gilliam
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