UFC on FOX: Holm vs. Shevchenko
Chicago, USA
23 Jul 2016
Welterweight
VS
61%
Oliveira
39%
Moontasri
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
AO
Alex Oliveira
"Cowboy"
22 – 12
5'11"76" reachOrthodox38 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 30
JM
James Moontasri
"Moon Walker"
9 – 5
Pressure Fighter2-fight slide38 yrsSwitch71" reach5'10"
CFR 19

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Oliveira

Oliveira holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Moontasri has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Moontasri has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.

Oliveira has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Oliveira's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Oliveira
Moontasri
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'10"
76"+
Reach
71"
38
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Oliveira
Moontasri
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
29.9
19.2
46.5
Performance Avg
46.2
43
Quality of Victory
55
100
Momentum Score
52
Oliveira
Moontasri
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
0.8
54%
Strike Accuracy
41%
4.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.7
4 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
3
15
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance2
2Clinch1
26Ground0
Oliveira
Moontasri
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.0
/ 10
4.0
/ 10
2.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.8
2.7
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
3
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Oliveira
Moontasri
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
82
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
5
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/34 fights
Chin rating based on
6/14 fights
Oliveira
Moontasri
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
52
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
Oliveira
Moontasri
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
64%
100%
4
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Oliveira
Moontasri
Striking4.7 / 5.7Volume4.0 / 0.7Grappling3.0 / 4.0Wrestling2.1 / 2.8Submission2.7 / 5.0Pressure6.0 / 8.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.7
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.0
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.8
2.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
Oliveira
Strike Zones
Moontasri
Oliveira
Attacking
17HEAD15BODY0LEGS32 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD0BODY0LEGS3 absorbed
Moontasri
Attacking
3HEAD0BODY0LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
17HEAD15BODY0LEGS32 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Oliveira targets the head (53% of attacks) — Moontasri absorbs 53% of strikes there
🎯Moontasri targets the head (100% of attacks) — Oliveira absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Oliveira
RND
Moontasri
0/0R00/0

Oliveira · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0104.2L5.0W4.5W5.5W1.5L4.5W5.5W5.3W5.2W4.0L5.2W5.0W3.8L5.5L5.8L5.1W4.5W3.6L2.4L6.2L3.4L2015-032016-102018-122021-042022-03
WinLossTrend

Moontasri · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.5L5.2W1.5L5.0W5.5L5.5L2014-062015-022015-072015-112016-072016-12
WinLossTrend

Oliveira · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Kevin HollandRating 3.4
KO/TKO
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal · 2022-03
L · Dec · R3
Niko PriceRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker · 2021-10
L · Sub · R1
Randy BrownRating 2.4
Submission
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2 · 2021-04
L · Sub · R1
Shavkat RakhmonovRating 3.6
Submission
UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje · 2020-10
W · Dec · R3
Peter SobottaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07

Moontasri · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Alex MoronoRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson · 2016-12
L · Dec · R3
Alex OliveiraRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Holm vs. Shevchenko · 2016-07
W · KO · R1
Anton ZafirRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 193: Rousey vs Holm · 2015-11
L · Sub · R1
Kevin LeeRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee · 2015-07
W · Sub · R2
Cody PfisterRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Thatch · 2015-02

News & Media

Alex Oliveira · James Moontasri
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