METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC on FOX: Holm vs. Shevchenko
Chicago, USA
23 Jul 2016
Welterweight
VS
61%
Oliveira
39%
Moontasri
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Alex OliveirawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. James Moontasri · UFC on FOX: Holm vs. Shevchenko
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Oliveira
→
Actual result
Oliveira wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Oliveira holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Moontasri has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Moontasri has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Oliveira has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Oliveira's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
OliveiraMoontasri
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Oliveira
Moontasri
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'10"
76"+
Reach
71"
38
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Oliveira
Moontasri
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
29.9
19.2
46.5
Performance Avg
46.2
43
Quality of Victory
55
100
Momentum Score
52
Oliveira
Moontasri
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.1
0.8
54%
Strike Accuracy
41%
4.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.7
4 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
3
15
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance2
2Clinch1
26Ground0
Oliveira
Moontasri
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.0
/ 10
4.0
/ 10
2.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.8
2.7
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
3
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Oliveira
Moontasri
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
82
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
5
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/34 fights
Chin rating based on
6/14 fights
Oliveira
Moontasri
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
52
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
Oliveira
Moontasri
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
64%
100%
4
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Oliveira
Moontasri
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.7
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.0
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.8
2.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
OliveiraMoontasri
Strike Zones
Oliveira
Attacking
32 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedMoontasri
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
32 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Oliveira targets the head (53% of attacks) — Moontasri absorbs 53% of strikes there
🎯Moontasri targets the head (100% of attacks) — Oliveira absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Oliveira
RND
Moontasri
0/0R00/0
Oliveira · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Moontasri · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Oliveira · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Kevin HollandRating 3.4KO/TKO
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal · 2022-03
L · Dec · R3
Niko PriceRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker · 2021-10
L · Sub · R1
Randy BrownRating 2.4Submission
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2 · 2021-04
L · Sub · R1
Shavkat RakhmonovRating 3.6Submission
UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje · 2020-10
W · Dec · R3
Peter SobottaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07
Moontasri · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Alex MoronoRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson · 2016-12
L · Dec · R3
Alex OliveiraRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Holm vs. Shevchenko · 2016-07
W · KO · R1
Anton ZafirRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 193: Rousey vs Holm · 2015-11
L · Sub · R1
Kevin LeeRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee · 2015-07
W · Sub · R2
Cody PfisterRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Thatch · 2015-02