UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill
Las Vegas, USA
13 Apr 2024
Bantamweight
VS
50%
Figueiredo
50%
Garbrandt
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 4:02
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Figueiredo
This is a genuine toss-up — Figueiredo at 50% vs Garbrandt at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Garbrandt throws more volume but Figueiredo connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Figueiredo's chin rating of 58 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Garbrandt has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Figueiredo
Garbrandt
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
+5'8"
68"+
Reach
65"
38
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Figueiredo
Garbrandt
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
56.4
56.6
57.9
Performance Avg
51.6
50
Quality of Victory
47
55
Momentum Score
97
Figueiredo
Garbrandt
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.3
54%
Strike Accuracy
43%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.2
4 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
2
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance2
0Clinch0
3Ground0
Figueiredo
Garbrandt
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.0
2.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Figueiredo
Garbrandt
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
58
0
KO risk
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/31 fights
Chin rating based on
18/22 fights
Figueiredo
Garbrandt
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
55
97
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
Figueiredo
Garbrandt
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
57%
60%
4
KO / TKO Wins
6
4
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Figueiredo
Garbrandt
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.2
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.0
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.7
2.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.0
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.4
FigueiredoGarbrandt
Strike Zones
Figueiredo
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedGarbrandt
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Figueiredo targets the head (100% of attacks) — Garbrandt absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Garbrandt targets the head (100% of attacks) — Figueiredo absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Figueiredo
RND
Garbrandt
0/0R00/0
Figueiredo · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Garbrandt · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Figueiredo · Last 5
Upcoming
Song YadongUFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Umar NurmagomedovRating 6.8Decision
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · Dec · R3
Montel JacksonRating 5.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
L · KO · R2
Cory SandhagenRating 3.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
L · Dec · R5
Petr YanRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · 2024-11
Garbrandt · Last 5
Upcoming
Adrian YanezUFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
W · Dec · R3
Xiao LongRating 5.3Decision
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
L · Dec · R3
Raoni BarcelosRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
L · Sub · R2
Deiveson FigueiredoRating 3.8Submission
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · KO · R1
Brian KelleherRating 5.3KO/TKO
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12

