METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov
Las Vegas, USA
6 Feb 2021
Featherweight
VS
98%
Osbourne
2%
Rivera
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:26
★ Official Result
Ode OsbournewinsKO/TKOR1 · 0:26
def. Jerome Rivera · UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Osbourne
→
Actual result
Osbourne wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Osbourne is a strong favourite at 98% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 50 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Osbourne has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 45 points.
Risk flags
Osbourne's chin rating of 16 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Rivera has a chin rating of 42 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
OsbourneRivera
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Osbourne
Rivera
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'10"
73"+
Reach
72"
34
Age
+31
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Osbourne
Rivera
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
51.3
1.2
43.7
Performance Avg
0.0
45
Quality of Victory
0
87
Momentum Score
0
Osbourne
Rivera
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.8
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
5.5
Style: Pressure
0.0
4.0
Style: Volume
0.0
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
0
0
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
1Distance2
0Clinch0
4Ground0
Osbourne
Rivera
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
0.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Osbourne
Rivera
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
16
42
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
3
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
7 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/22 fights
Chin rating based on
4/16 fights
Osbourne
Rivera
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
87
0
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Osbourne
Rivera
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
0%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Osbourne
Rivera
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
OsbourneRivera
Strike Zones
Osbourne
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedRivera
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Osbourne targets the head (100% of attacks) — Rivera absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Rivera targets the body (50% of attacks) — Osbourne absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Osbourne
RND
Rivera
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Osbourne · Last 5
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