UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos
Las Vegas, USA
5 Nov 2022
Flyweight
VS
49%
Ulanbekov
51%
Maness
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:11
Tagir
Tagir Ulanbekov
17 – 3
5'7"70" reachSouthpaw34 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 56
Nate
Nate Maness
"Mayhem"
16 – 3
Well-Rounded2-fight win streak34 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'10"
CFR 59

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Maness

This is a genuine toss-up — Ulanbekov at 49% vs Maness at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Maness has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Ulanbekov
Maness
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'10"
70"
Reach
+72"
34
Age
34
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Ulanbekov
Maness
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
56.3
58.7
50.3
Performance Avg
54.3
34
Quality of Victory
43
80
Momentum Score
100
Ulanbekov
Maness
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.6
54%
Strike Accuracy
55%
1.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.4
0 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
2
0
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance3
0Clinch0
2Ground1
Ulanbekov
Maness
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.6
3.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Ulanbekov
Maness
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
86
86
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/20 fights
Chin rating based on
7/19 fights
Ulanbekov
Maness
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
80
100
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Ulanbekov
Maness
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
60%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Ulanbekov
Maness
Striking1.5 / 5.4Volume6.8 / 4.6Grappling4.3 / 2.6Wrestling3.0 / 1.8Submission3.3 / 2.0Pressure4.6 / 6.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.4
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
4.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.3
6.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.6
Ulanbekov
Strike Zones
Maness
Ulanbekov
Attacking
4HEAD0BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD1BODY1LEGS4 absorbed
Maness
Attacking
2HEAD1BODY1LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD0BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Ulanbekov targets the head (100% of attacks) — Maness absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Maness targets the head (50% of attacks) — Ulanbekov absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Ulanbekov
RND
Maness
0/0R00/0

Ulanbekov · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0105.4W6.0W5.6L6.2W5.4W5.4W4.5W5.5L2020-102022-032023-122025-062025-11
WinLossTrend

Maness · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0104.5W5.2W5.2W6.8L2.6L5.0W5.0W2020-082021-092022-112024-06
WinLossTrend

Ulanbekov · Last 5

L · Sub · R3
Kyoji HoriguchiRating 5.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Azat MaksumRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
Clayton CarpenterRating 5.4
Decision
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · Sub · R2
Cody DurdenRating 5.4
Submission
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12
W · Sub · R1
Nate ManessRating 6.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos · 2022-11

Maness · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Jimmy FlickRating 5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira · 2024-06
W · KO · R1
Mateus MendoncaRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green · 2023-10
L · Sub · R1
Tagir UlanbekovRating 2.6
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos · 2022-11
L · Dec · R3
Umar NurmagomedovRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot · 2022-06
W · KO · R2
Tony GravelyRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann · 2021-09

News & Media

Tagir Ulanbekov · Nate Maness
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