UFC 110: Nogueira vs Velasquez
Sydney, Australia
20 Feb 2010
Welterweight
VS
44%
Lytle
56%
Foster
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 1:41
CL
Chris Lytle
"Lights Out"
31 – 18
5'11"68" reachOrthodox51 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 18
BF
Brian Foster
"The Foster Boy"
27 – 10
Knockout Artist2-fight win streak42 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'9"
CFR 23

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Foster

This is a genuine toss-up — Lytle at 44% vs Foster at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Foster has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.

Foster has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Lytle
Foster
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'9"
68"
Reach
+71"
51
Age
+42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Lytle
Foster
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.3
23.4
46.2
Performance Avg
56.9
44
Quality of Victory
55
56
Momentum Score
85
Lytle
Foster
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.8
42%
Strike Accuracy
47%
2.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.9
1 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
5
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance4
0Clinch0
0Ground1
Lytle
Foster
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.4
Sub Attempts / fight
—
5.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.7
3.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Lytle
Foster
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
80
76
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
2
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/49 fights
Chin rating based on
5/37 fights
Lytle
Foster
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
56
85
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
W · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
W · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
Lytle
Foster
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
70%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
6
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Lytle
Foster
Striking2.0 / 7.9Volume3.4 / 1.2Grappling5.5 / 2.7Wrestling3.9 / 1.9Submission6.0 / 3.3Pressure6.4 / 8.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.9
5.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.7
3.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.9
6.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
6.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.8
3.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.2
Lytle
Strike Zones
Foster
Lytle
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD0BODY0LEGS5 absorbed
Foster
Attacking
5HEAD0BODY0LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Lytle targets the head (100% of attacks) — Foster absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Foster targets the head (100% of attacks) — Lytle absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Lytle
RND
Foster
0/0R00/0

Lytle · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0104.8L5.8L5.2W5.2W5.5L4.8L5.5L5.5L5.0W4.8L5.0W5.5L4.5W5.5L4.5W5.0W5.6W4.5W5.5L5.5W2000-112005-102008-022010-022011-08
WinLossTrend

Foster · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.0
0102.8L5.2W1.5L5.0W5.6W2009-092009-112010-022010-092010-11
WinLossTrend

Lytle · Last 5

W · Sub · R3
Dan HardyRating 5.5
Submission
UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle · 2011-08
L · Dec · R3
Brian EbersoleRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch · 2011-02
W · Dec · R3
Matt SerraRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 119: Mir vs Cro Cop · 2010-09
W · Sub · R2
Matt BrownRating 5.6
Submission
UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin · 2010-07
W · Sub · R1
Brian FosterRating 5
Submission
UFC 110: Nogueira vs Velasquez · 2010-02

Foster · Last 5

W · Sub · R2
Matt BrownRating 5.6
Submission
UFC 123: Rampage vs Machida · 2010-11
W · KO · R1
Forrest PetzRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Marquardt vs Palhares · 2010-09
L · Sub · R1
Chris LytleRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 110: Nogueira vs Velasquez · 2010-02
W · KO · R2
Brock LarsonRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 106: Ortiz vs Griffin 2 · 2009-11
L · Sub · R2
Rick StoryRating 2.8
Submission
UFC 103: Franklin vs Belfort · 2009-09

News & Media

Chris Lytle · Brian Foster
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