METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2
Mexico City, Mexico
24 Feb 2024
Featherweight
VS
52%
Rodriguez
48%
Ortega
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 0:58
★ Official Result
Brian OrtegawinsSubmissionR3 · 0:58
def. Yair Rodriguez · UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Rodriguez
→
Actual result
Ortega wins
Submission · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Rodriguez at 52% vs Ortega at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Rodriguez's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
RodriguezOrtega
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Rodriguez
Ortega
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'8"
71"+
Reach
69"
33+
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Rodriguez
Ortega
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
66.4
62.1
60.2
Performance Avg
53.7
51
Quality of Victory
48
100
Momentum Score
80
Rodriguez
Ortega
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.1
/ 10
5.0
/ 10
5.4
Style: Pressure
8.0
5.8
Style: Volume
2.2
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Rodriguez
Ortega
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.0
/ 10
4.3
/ 10
1.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.0
0.9
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
1
Submission wins
4
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Rodriguez
Ortega
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
70
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/27 fights
Chin rating based on
15/21 fights
Rodriguez
Ortega
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
80
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
L · KO · R1
Rodriguez
Ortega
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
46%
88%
4
KO / TKO Wins
3
1
Submission Wins
4
6
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Rodriguez
Ortega
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.0
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
0.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
5.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
5.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.2
RodriguezOrtega
Strike Zones
Rodriguez
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedOrtega
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Rodriguez targets the head (100% of attacks) — Ortega absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Rodriguez
RND
Ortega
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Rodriguez · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Patricio PitbullDecision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
L · Sub · R3
Brian OrtegaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · 2024-02
L · KO · R3
Alexander VolkanovskiKO/TKO
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · 2023-07
W · Sub · R2
Josh EmmettSubmission
UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski · 2023-02
W · KO · R1
Brian OrtegaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · 2022-07
Ortega · Last 5
Upcoming
Renato MoicanoUFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2 · 2026-09
L · Dec · R5
Aljamain SterlingDecision
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Diego LopesDecision
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09
W · Sub · R3
Yair RodriguezSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · 2024-02
L · KO · R1
Yair RodriguezKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · 2022-07