UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov
Louisville, USA
8 Jun 2024
Middleweight
VS
45%
Marquez
55%
Reese
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:20
Julian Marquez
"The Cuban Missile Crisis"
9 – 6
6'2"72" reachOrthodox36 yrs4-fight slideSubmission Hunter
CFR 46
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Reese
This is a genuine toss-up — Marquez at 45% vs Reese at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Marquez throws more volume but Reese connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Marquez's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Reese has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Marquez
Reese
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'4"
72"
Reach
+77"
36
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Marquez
Reese
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
45.8
55.0
43.8
Performance Avg
46.8
48
Quality of Victory
40
46
Momentum Score
88
Marquez
Reese
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
3.0
1.5
48%
Strike Accuracy
50%
0.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.6
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
5
0
Body
1
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground4
Marquez
Reese
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
8.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.2
5.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Marquez
Reese
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
54
4 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/15 fights
Chin rating based on
8/13 fights
Marquez
Reese
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
46
88
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Marquez
Reese
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Marquez
Reese
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.2
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.2
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
8.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.2
0.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.1
MarquezReese
Strike Zones
Marquez
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedReese
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Marquez targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Reese absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Reese targets the head (83% of attacks) — Marquez absorbs 83% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Marquez
RND
Reese
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Marquez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Reese · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Marquez · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Cody BrundageRating 2KO/TKO
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Zach ReeseRating 2.5KO/TKO
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L · KO · R2
Marc-Andre BarriaultRating 2.8KO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
Michel PereiraRating 6.1Decision
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