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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov
Louisville, USA
8 Jun 2024
Middleweight
VS
45%
Marquez
55%
Reese
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:20
Julian
Julian Marquez
"The Cuban Missile Crisis"
96
6'2"72" reachOrthodox36 yrs4-fight slideSubmission Hunter
CFR 46
Zach
Zach Reese
"Savage"
103
Well-Rounded32 yrsSwitch77" reach6'4"
CFR 55
★ Official Result
Zach ReesewinsKO/TKOR1 · 0:20
def. Julian Marquez · UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Reese
Actual result
Reese wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Marquez at 45% vs Reese at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Marquez throws more volume but Reese connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Marquez's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Reese has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
MarquezReese
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Marquez
Reese
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'4"
72"
Reach
+77"
36
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Marquez
Reese
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
45.8
55.0
43.8
Performance Avg
46.8
48
Quality of Victory
40
46
Momentum Score
88
Marquez
Reese
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.0
1.5
48%
Strike Accuracy
50%
0.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.6
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
5
0
Body
1
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground4
Marquez
Reese
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
8.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.2
5.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Marquez
Reese
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
54
4 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
Strikes absorbed / min
8/15 fights
Chin rating based on
8/13 fights
Marquez
Reese
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
46
88
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Marquez
Reese
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Marquez
Reese
Striking0.8 / 3.6Volume0.8 / 5.1Grappling8.0 / 3.2Wrestling5.6 / 2.2Submission10.0 / 2.5Pressure8.1 / 5.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.2
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.2
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
8.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.2
0.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.1
Marquez
Strike Zones
Reese
Marquez
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY1LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD1BODY0LEGS6 absorbed
Reese
Attacking
5HEAD1BODY0LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY1LEGS1 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Marquez targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Reese absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Reese targets the head (83% of attacks) — Marquez absorbs 83% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Marquez
RND
Reese
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Marquez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.0
0105.2W5.5L5.5W5.2W3.1L2.8L2.5L2.0L2017-122021-022022-062024-062025-03
WinLossTrend

Reese · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0102.0L5.5W4.5W2.8L4.9W6.2W6.1L2023-122024-082025-052026-02
WinLossTrend

Marquez · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Cody BrundageRating 2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03
L · KO · R1
Zach ReeseRating 2.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
L · KO · R2
Marc-Andre BarriaultRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03
L · KO · R1
Gregory RodriguesRating 3.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett · 2022-06
W · Sub · R2
Sam AlveyRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland · 2021-04

Reese · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Michel PereiraRating 6.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
W · Sub · R2
Jackson McVeyRating 6.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
Upcoming
Sedriques Dumas
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Dusko TodorovicRating 4.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber · 2025-05
L · KO · R1
Azamat BekoevRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01

News & Media

Julian Marquez · Zach Reese
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