METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov
Louisville, USA
8 Jun 2024
Middleweight
VS
44%
Marquez
56%
Reese
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:20

Julian Marquez
"The Cuban Missile Crisis"
9 – 6
6'2"72" reachOrthodox36 yrs4-fight slideSubmission Hunter
CFR 41
★ Official Result
Zach ReesewinsKO/TKOR1 · 0:20
def. Julian Marquez · UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Reese
→
Actual result
Reese wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Marquez at 44% vs Reese at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Marquez's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Reese has a chin rating of 32 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MarquezReese
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Marquez
Reese
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'4"
72"
Reach
+77"
36
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Marquez
Reese
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
41.2
51.7
43.8
Performance Avg
43.9
48
Quality of Victory
40
46
Momentum Score
88
Marquez
Reese
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.8
/ 10
3.5
/ 10
8.1
Style: Pressure
5.0
0.8
Style: Volume
5.0
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
5
0
Body
1
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground4
Marquez
Reese
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
8.0
/ 10
3.2
/ 10
5.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.2
10.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.5
3
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Marquez
Reese
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
32
4 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/15 fights
Chin rating based on
9/13 fights
Marquez
Reese
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
46
88
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
Marquez
Reese
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Marquez
Reese
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.5
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.2
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.2
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
8.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
0.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
MarquezReese
Strike Zones
Marquez
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedReese
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Marquez targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Reese absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Reese targets the head (83% of attacks) — Marquez absorbs 83% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Marquez
RND
Reese
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Marquez · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Cody BrundageKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03
L · KO · R1
Zach ReeseKO/TKO
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L · KO · R2
Marc-Andre BarriaultKO/TKO
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L · KO · R1
Gregory RodriguesKO/TKO
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W · Sub · R2
Sam AlveySubmission
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Reese · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Ryan GandraKO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
Michel PereiraDecision
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W · Sub · R2
Jackson McVeySubmission
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