METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira
Las Vegas, USA
15 Jun 2024
Flyweight
VS
59%
Almabayev
41%
Johnson
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Asu AlmabayevwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Jose Johnson · UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Almabayev
→
Actual result
Almabayev wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Almabayev at 59% vs Johnson at 41% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Johnson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
AlmabayevJohnson
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Almabayev
Johnson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
+6'0"
65"
Reach
+71"
32
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Almabayev
Johnson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
59.7
41.8
55.5
Performance Avg
37.0
34
Quality of Victory
45
83
Momentum Score
43
Almabayev
Johnson
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
/ 10
0.5
/ 10
5.6
Style: Pressure
7.8
6.3
Style: Volume
0.5
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
0
1
Body
0
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance0
1Clinch0
5Ground0
Almabayev
Johnson
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.8
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
3.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
4.3
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
3
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Almabayev
Johnson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
74
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/26 fights
Chin rating based on
4/26 fights
Almabayev
Johnson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
83
43
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
L · Sub · R1
Almabayev
Johnson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
43%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Almabayev
Johnson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
4.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
3.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
4.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
AlmabayevJohnson
Strike Zones
Almabayev
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedJohnson
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Almabayev targets the head (63% of attacks) — Johnson absorbs 63% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Almabayev
RND
Johnson
0/0R00/0
Almabayev · Last 5
W · Sub · R3
Charles JohnsonSubmission
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W · Sub · R3
Alex PerezSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Jose OchoaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
L · KO · R3
Manel KapeKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Matheus NicolauDecision
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10
Johnson · Last 4
L · Sub · R1
Felipe BunesSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01
L · Dec · R3
Asu AlmabayevDecision
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira · 2024-06
W · Sub · R3
Chad AnheligerSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig · 2023-11
L · Sub · R1
Da'Mon BlackshearSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08