UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira
Las Vegas, USA
15 Jun 2024
Flyweight
VS
56%
Almabayev
44%
Johnson
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Asu
Asu Almabayev
"Zulfikar"
23 – 3
5'4"65" reachOrthodox32 yrs2-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 58
Jose
Jose Johnson
"Zhakwarius"
16 – 10
Submission Hunter2-fight slide31 yrsOrthodox71" reach6'0"
CFR 46

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Almabayev

This is a genuine toss-up — Almabayev at 56% vs Johnson at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Johnson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.

Johnson has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Almabayev
Johnson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
+6'0"
65"
Reach
+71"
32
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Almabayev
Johnson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
57.9
46.4
53.7
Performance Avg
37.0
32
Quality of Victory
45
83
Momentum Score
43
Almabayev
Johnson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.5
1.3
59%
Strike Accuracy
68%
1.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
0
1
Body
0
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance0
1Clinch0
5Ground0
Almabayev
Johnson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.5
4.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
8.0
3.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
5.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Almabayev
Johnson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
74
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/26 fights
Chin rating based on
4/26 fights
Almabayev
Johnson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
83
43
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
L · Sub · R1
Almabayev
Johnson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Almabayev
Johnson
Striking1.7 / 0.5Volume7.0 / 0.5Grappling4.3 / 8.0Wrestling3.0 / 5.6Submission3.3 / 10.0Pressure4.9 / 7.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
4.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
7.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
Almabayev
Strike Zones
Johnson
Almabayev
Attacking
5HEAD1BODY2LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Johnson
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD1BODY2LEGS8 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Almabayev targets the head (63% of attacks) — Johnson absorbs 63% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Almabayev
RND
Johnson
0/0R00/0

Almabayev · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0106.1W4.5W5.1W4.7W4.5L5.4W6.8W2023-082024-062025-032025-11
WinLossTrend

Johnson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0102.5L5.9W6.6L2.1L2023-082023-112024-062025-01
WinLossTrend

Almabayev · Last 5

Upcoming
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W · Sub · R3
Alex PerezRating 6.8
Submission
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W · Dec · R3
Jose OchoaRating 5.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
L · KO · R3
Manel KapeRating 4.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Matheus NicolauRating 4.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10

Johnson · Last 4

L · Sub · R1
Felipe BunesRating 2.1
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01
L · Dec · R3
Asu AlmabayevRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira · 2024-06
W · Sub · R3
Chad AnheligerRating 5.9
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig · 2023-11
L · Sub · R1
Da'Mon BlackshearRating 2.5
Submission
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News & Media

Asu Almabayev · Jose Johnson
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