UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
25 Jul 2020
Lightweight
VS
39%
Trinaldo
61%
Herbert
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 1:30
FT
Francisco Trinaldo
"Massaranduba"
28 – 9
5'9"70" reachSouthpaw47 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 32
Jai
Jai Herbert
"Black Country Banger"
14 – 6
Well-Rounded38 yrsOrthodox77" reach6'1"
CFR 50

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Herbert

Herbert holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Trinaldo has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Herbert throws more volume but Trinaldo connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Trinaldo's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Herbert has a chin rating of 40 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Trinaldo
Herbert
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+6'1"
70"
Reach
+77"
47
Age
+38
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Trinaldo
Herbert
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
31.7
49.6
48.6
Performance Avg
43.3
35
Quality of Victory
43
100
Momentum Score
74
Trinaldo
Herbert
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.5
47%
Strike Accuracy
45%
3.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.9
4 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
2
1
Body
0
4
Leg
1
RangeRange
8Distance3
0Clinch0
4Ground0
Trinaldo
Herbert
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
1.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Trinaldo
Herbert
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
40
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
2
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
26/37 fights
Chin rating based on
10/20 fights
Trinaldo
Herbert
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
74
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Trinaldo
Herbert
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
50%
4
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
0
12
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Trinaldo
Herbert
Striking3.6 / 5.9Volume6.3 / 4.9Grappling2.4 / 1.2Wrestling1.6 / 0.8Submission1.1 / 0.0Pressure4.4 / 4.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.9
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.9
Trinaldo
Strike Zones
Herbert
Trinaldo
Attacking
7HEAD1BODY4LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY1LEGS3 absorbed
Herbert
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY1LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD1BODY4LEGS12 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Trinaldo targets the head (58% of attacks) — Herbert absorbs 58% of strikes there
🎯Herbert targets the head (67% of attacks) — Trinaldo absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Trinaldo
RND
Herbert
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Trinaldo · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.0W5.5L5.2W5.0W2.8L4.5W6.3L4.5W4.5W4.5W5.0W4.5W4.5W4.5W2.8L4.9W5.5L5.2W6.4L5.2W4.5W6.2W6.5L4.5W4.5W6.4L2012-062014-092017-032020-072022-10
WinLossTrend

Herbert · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0104.0L3.5L5.0W5.1L4.6W6.7L4.5W7.3L5.0W2020-072022-032024-082026-04
WinLossTrend

Trinaldo · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Randy BrownRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · 2022-10
W · Dec · R3
Danny RobertsRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05
W · Dec · R3
Dwight GrantRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori · 2021-10
L · Dec · R3
Muslim SalikhovRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai · 2021-06
W · KO · R3
Jai HerbertRating 6.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07

Herbert · Last 5

W · KO · R1
Mandel NalloRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Chris PadillaRating 7.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Rolando BedoyaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
L · Dec · R3
Fares ZiamRating 6.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · 2023-07
Upcoming
Ludovit Klein
Decision
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03

News & Media

Francisco Trinaldo · Jai Herbert
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