UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues
Las Vegas, USA
15 Feb 2025
Heavyweight
VS
36%
Mayes
64%
Walker
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 1:17
Valter Walker
"The Clean Monster"
15 – 1
Submission Hunter4-fight win streak28 yrsOrthodox78" reach6'6"
CFR 74
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Walker
Walker holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Mayes has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 33 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Walker has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
Striking split: Mayes throws more volume but Walker connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Mayes's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Mayes
Walker
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'6"
Height
6'6"
81"+
Reach
78"
34
Age
+28
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Mayes
Walker
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
41.2
73.9
37.8
Performance Avg
64.4
39
Quality of Victory
54
43
Momentum Score
91
Mayes
Walker
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
0.8
46%
Strike Accuracy
51%
5.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.6
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
1Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Mayes
Walker
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.6
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
8.0
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
5.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Mayes
Walker
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
98
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/20 fights
Chin rating based on
5/16 fights
Mayes
Walker
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
91
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Mayes
Walker
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
100%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
4
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Mayes
Walker
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.6
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
4.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
9.4
4.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.6
MayesWalker
Strike Zones
Mayes
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedWalker
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Mayes targets the head (100% of attacks) — Walker absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Walker targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Mayes absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Mayes
RND
Walker
0/0R00/0
Mayes · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Walker · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.6WinLossTrend
Mayes · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Thomas PetersenRating 5.5Decision
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L · Sub · R1
Valter WalkerRating 3.4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
L · Dec · R3
Shamil GazievRating 6.2Decision
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W · Dec · R3
Caio MachadoRating 4.5Decision
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L · Dec · R3
Rodrigo NascimentoRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis · 2023-11
Walker · Last 5
W · Sub · R1
Louie SutherlandRating 5Submission
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W · Sub · R1
Kennedy NzechukwuRating 6.3Submission
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W · Sub · R1
Don'Tale MayesRating 5.3Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
W · Sub · R1
Junior TafaRating 5.8Submission
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L · Dec · R3
Lukasz BrzeskiRating 5.5Decision
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