METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2
Las Vegas, USA
4 Mar 2017
Featherweight
VS
30%
Bektic
70%
Elkins
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 3:19
★ Official Result
Darren ElkinswinsKO/TKOR3 · 3:19
def. Mirsad Bektic · UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Elkins
→
Actual result
Elkins wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Elkins is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 25 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Bektic's chin rating of 42 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Elkins has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BekticElkins
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Bektic
Elkins
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'10"
70"
Reach
+71"
35+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Bektic
Elkins
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.0
44.3
48.4
Performance Avg
45.5
41
Quality of Victory
35
84
Momentum Score
66
Bektic
Elkins
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.5
/ 10
3.3
/ 10
5.3
Style: Pressure
4.4
5.2
Style: Volume
6.3
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
6
0
Body
4
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
5Distance3
0Clinch4
0Ground5
Bektic
Elkins
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.5
/ 10
2.8
/ 10
1.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.9
1.7
Submission Style (/10)
1.6
1
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Bektic
Elkins
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
42
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
5
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.4 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/17 fights
Chin rating based on
31/41 fights
Bektic
Elkins
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
84
66
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
Bektic
Elkins
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
37%
2
KO / TKO Wins
4
1
Submission Wins
3
3
Decision Wins
12
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Bektic
Elkins
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.3
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.8
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.9
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.6
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.4
5.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
BekticElkins
Strike Zones
Bektic
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedElkins
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Bektic targets the head (100% of attacks) — Elkins absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Elkins targets the head (50% of attacks) — Bektic absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Bektic
RND
Elkins
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Bektic · Last 5
L · Sub · R3
Damon JacksonSubmission
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L · KO · R1
Josh EmmettKO/TKO
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W · Dec · R3
Ricardo LamasDecision
UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2 · 2018-06
W · KO · R1
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Elkins · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Yadier del ValleKO/TKO
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L · KO · R1
Julian ErosaKO/TKO
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Daniel PinedaDecision
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W · Sub · R3
TJ BrownSubmission
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L · Dec · R3
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