UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili
Las Vegas, USA
11 Mar 2023
Heavyweight
VS
54%
Volkov
46%
Romanov
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:16
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Volkov
This is a genuine toss-up — Volkov at 54% vs Romanov at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Romanov throws more volume but Volkov connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Volkov's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Romanov has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Volkov
Romanov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'7"+
Height
6'2"
80"+
Reach
75"
37
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Volkov
Romanov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
60.2
50.5
54.7
Performance Avg
52.6
42
Quality of Victory
41
88
Momentum Score
70
Volkov
Romanov
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
2.0
58%
Strike Accuracy
52%
5.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.8
6 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
0
4
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance0
3Clinch0
5Ground0
Volkov
Romanov
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.8
/ 10
4.5
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.1
0.7
Submission Style (/10)
4.3
1
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Volkov
Romanov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
64
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
14 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/51 fights
Chin rating based on
10/21 fights
Volkov
Romanov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
88
70
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Volkov
Romanov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
57%
6
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
3
7
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Volkov
Romanov
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.8
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.5
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.1
0.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.3
5.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.1
5.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
VolkovRomanov
Strike Zones
Volkov
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedRomanov
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Volkov targets the head (67% of attacks) — Romanov absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Volkov
RND
Romanov
0/0R00/0
Volkov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Romanov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Volkov · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Waldo Cortes AcostaRating 6Decision
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
W · Dec · R3
Jailton AlmeidaRating 6.3Decision
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Ciryl GaneRating 7.2Decision
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Sergei PavlovichRating 5.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
W · Sub · R2
Tai TuivasaRating 5.7Submission
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09
Romanov · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Rodrigo NascimentoRating 4.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11
L · Sub · R1
Jailton AlmeidaRating 3.3Submission
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
W · Dec · R3
Blagoy IvanovRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov · 2023-07
L · KO · R1
Alexander VolkovRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili · 2023-03
L · Dec · R3
Marcin TyburaRating 5.9Decision
UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards · 2022-08