UFC 33: Victory in Vegas
Las Vegas, USA
28 Sept 2001
Welterweight
VS
49%
Serra
51%
Edwards
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
MS
Matt Serra
"The Terra"
11 – 7
5'6"68" reachOrthodox51 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 18
YE
Yves Edwards
42 – 22
Well-Rounded4-fight slide49 yrsSouthpaw73" reach5'9"
CFR 19

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Edwards

This is a genuine toss-up — Serra at 49% vs Edwards at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Edwards has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Serra's chin rating of 46 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Edwards has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Serra
Edwards
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'9"
68"
Reach
+73"
51
Age
+49
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Serra
Edwards
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.2
19.3
53.3
Performance Avg
47.6
56
Quality of Victory
46
52
Momentum Score
85
Serra
Edwards
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
1.3
37%
Strike Accuracy
47%
3.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
2
2
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
0Clinch1
2Ground1
Serra
Edwards
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.3
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Serra
Edwards
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
46
30
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
8 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/18 fights
Chin rating based on
21/64 fights
Serra
Edwards
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
52
85
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R3
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Serra
Edwards
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
43%
70%
2
KO / TKO Wins
5
1
Submission Wins
2
4
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Serra
Edwards
Striking3.9 / 6.0Volume5.6 / 3.4Grappling2.5 / 2.3Wrestling1.8 / 1.6Submission1.4 / 2.0Pressure4.5 / 6.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.0
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.3
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.6
1.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.4
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.4
Serra
Strike Zones
Edwards
Serra
Attacking
0HEAD2BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Edwards
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD2BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Serra targets the body (100% of attacks) — Edwards absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Edwards targets the head (100% of attacks) — Serra absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Serra
RND
Edwards
0/0R00/0

Serra · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0104.0L4.5W5.0W5.5L5.5L4.5W4.5W5.5L4.5W5.0W2.1L5.5L5.0W5.5L2001-052003-022006-112010-022010-09
WinLossTrend

Edwards · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.5L5.5L5.0W5.5W4.5W5.2W4.5W5.0W2.8L4.8L4.5W5.2W1.5L5.2W6.0L5.5W5.5L5.5L4.0L1.5L2001-092003-112010-092012-122014-11
WinLossTrend

Serra · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Chris LytleRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 119: Mir vs Cro Cop · 2010-09
W · KO · R1
Frank TriggRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 109: Relentless · 2010-02
L · Dec · R3
Matt HughesRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 98: Evans vs Machida · 2009-05
L · KO · R2
Georges St-PierreRating 2.1
KO/TKO
UFC 83: Serra vs St-Pierre 2 · 2008-04
W · KO · R1
Georges St-PierreRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 69: Shootout · 2007-04

Edwards · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Akbarh ArreolaRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Swanson · 2014-11
L · Sub · R3
Piotr HallmannRating 4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Khabilov · 2014-06
Upcoming
Yancy Medeiros
UFC Fight Night: Fight for the Troops 3 · 2013-11
L · Dec · R3
Daron CruickshankRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Moraga · 2013-07
L · Dec · R3
Isaac Vallie-FlaggRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 156: Aldo vs Edgar · 2013-02

News & Media

Matt Serra · Yves Edwards
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