UFC 188: Velasquez vs Werdum
Mexico City, Mexico
13 Jun 2015
Women's Strawweight
VS
58%
Pennington
42%
Hill
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Tecia
Tecia Pennington
"Tiny Tornado"
15 – 8
5'1"60" reachOrthodox36 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 50
Angela
Angela Hill
"Overkill"
18 – 16
Well-Rounded2-fight slide41 yrsOrthodox64" reach5'3"
CFR 36

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Pennington

This is a genuine toss-up — Pennington at 58% vs Hill at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Hill has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Hill has a chin rating of 48 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Pennington
Hill
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'1"
Height
+5'3"
60"
Reach
+64"
36+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pennington
Hill
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
49.8
36.2
39.8
Performance Avg
36.7
28
Quality of Victory
31
89
Momentum Score
40
Pennington
Hill
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
1.9
51%
Strike Accuracy
52%
1.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
9
5
Body
5
3
Leg
3
RangeRange
9Distance10
5Clinch7
0Ground0
Pennington
Hill
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.5
1.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Pennington
Hill
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
48
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
2
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/23 fights
Chin rating based on
30/34 fights
Pennington
Hill
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
89
40
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Pennington
Hill
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
9%
15%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
1
10
Decision Wins
11

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Pennington
Hill
Striking1.2 / 1.7Volume7.7 / 7.0Grappling2.7 / 2.5Wrestling1.9 / 1.7Submission0.9 / 0.8Pressure2.4 / 2.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.7
2.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.5
1.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.8
2.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.4
7.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.0
Pennington
Strike Zones
Hill
Pennington
Attacking
6HEAD5BODY3LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD5BODY3LEGS17 absorbed
Hill
Attacking
9HEAD5BODY3LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD5BODY3LEGS14 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Pennington targets the head (43% of attacks) — Hill absorbs 43% of strikes there
🎯Hill targets the head (53% of attacks) — Pennington absorbs 53% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Pennington
RND
Hill
0/0R00/0

Pennington · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0104.5W4.6W4.5W6.9L4.5W5.2W4.5W6.3L5.5L7.3L6.2L4.5W4.7W4.6W6.7L6.2L4.8W4.5W6.8L2014-122017-072019-082024-052025-11
WinLossTrend

Hill · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0104.5W6.2L2.9L6.3L4.5W5.5L5.1W5.5L1.5L4.5W6.5L5.5W5.2W5.4W5.5L5.5L4.5W6.2L6.6L6.2L5.0W4.5W6.7L5.8W5.3W6.2L4.9W6.4L7.1L2014-122019-032021-032024-052025-11
WinLossTrend

Pennington · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Denise GomesRating 6.8
Decision
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Luana PinheiroRating 4.5
Decision
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W · Dec · R3
Carla EsparzaRating 4.8
Decision
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Tabatha RicciRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05
L · Dec · R3
Mackenzie DernRating 6.7
Decision
UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie · 2022-04

Hill · Last 5

Upcoming
Xiong Jingnan
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Fatima KlineRating 7.1
Decision
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
L · Dec · R3
Iasmin LucindoRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
W · Dec · R3
Ketlen SouzaRating 4.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
L · Dec · R3
Tabatha RicciRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · 2024-08

News & Media

Tecia Pennington · Angela Hill
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