METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick
Lincoln, USA
25 Aug 2018
Middleweight
VS
97%
Anders
3%
Williams
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 4:42
TW
CFR 2
★ Official Result
Eryk AnderswinsKO/TKOR3 · 4:42
def. Tim Williams · UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Anders
→
Actual result
Anders wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Anders is a strong favourite at 97% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 49 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Anders has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 41 points.
Risk flags
Anders's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Williams has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
AndersWilliams
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Anders
Williams
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'2"
75"
Reach
+76"
39+
Age
40
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Anders
Williams
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.9
1.6
45.4
Performance Avg
0.0
41
Quality of Victory
0
79
Momentum Score
0
Anders
Williams
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.0
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
5.1
Style: Pressure
0.0
5.0
Style: Volume
0.0
5 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
12
2
Body
1
0
Leg
4
RangeRange
14Distance17
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Anders
Williams
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Anders
Williams
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
56
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/27 fights
Chin rating based on
2/20 fights
Anders
Williams
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
79
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
Anders
Williams
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
5
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Anders
Williams
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
AndersWilliams
Strike Zones
Anders
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedWilliams
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Anders targets the head (86% of attacks) — Williams absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Williams targets the head (71% of attacks) — Anders absorbs 71% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Anders
RND
Williams
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0
Anders · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Brad TavaresDecision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
L · KO · R1
Christian Leroy DuncanKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
W · KO · R2
Chris WeidmanKO/TKO
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Jamie PickettDecision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev · 2024-03
L · Dec · R3
Marc-Andre BarriaultDecision
UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana · 2023-06
Williams · Last 2
L · KO · R3
Eryk AndersKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick · 2018-08
L · KO · R1
Oskar PiechotaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros · 2018-02