UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick
Lincoln, USA
25 Aug 2018
Middleweight
VS
97%
Anders
3%
Williams
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 4:42
TW
CFR 2
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Anders
Anders is a strong favourite at 97% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 49 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Anders has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 41 points.
Anders has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Anders's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Williams has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Anders
Williams
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'2"
75"
Reach
+76"
39
Age
39
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Anders
Williams
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.9
1.6
45.4
Performance Avg
0.0
41
Quality of Victory
0
79
Momentum Score
0
Anders
Williams
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
1.7
53%
Strike Accuracy
39%
6.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
5 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
12
2
Body
1
0
Leg
4
RangeRange
14Distance17
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Anders
Williams
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Anders
Williams
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
56
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/27 fights
Chin rating based on
2/20 fights
Anders
Williams
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
79
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
Anders
Williams
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
5
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Anders
Williams
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
AndersWilliams
Strike Zones
Anders
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedWilliams
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Anders targets the head (86% of attacks) — Williams absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Williams targets the head (71% of attacks) — Anders absorbs 71% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Anders
RND
Williams
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0
Anders · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Williams · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.1WinLossTrend
Anders · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Brad TavaresRating 4.5Decision
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L · KO · R1
Christian Leroy DuncanRating 3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
W · KO · R2
Chris WeidmanRating 6.1KO/TKO
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Jamie PickettRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev · 2024-03
L · Dec · R3
Marc-Andre BarriaultRating 5.5Decision
UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana · 2023-06
Williams · Last 2
L · KO · R3
Eryk AndersRating 4.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick · 2018-08
L · KO · R1
Oskar PiechotaRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros · 2018-02