METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh
Mexico City, Mexico
28 Feb 2026
Bantamweight
VS
90%
Luna
10%
Pacheco
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Santiago LunawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Angel Pacheco · UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Luna
→
Actual result
Luna wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Luna is a strong favourite at 90% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 64 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Luna has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 43 points.
Luna has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
LunaPacheco
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Luna
Pacheco
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'8"
74"+
Reach
70"
21+
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Luna
Pacheco
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
71.8
7.7
65.5
Performance Avg
0.0
43
Quality of Victory
0
100
Momentum Score
0
Luna
Pacheco
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.7
1.4
54%
Strike Accuracy
30%
7.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
38
Head
14
10
Body
3
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
40Distance16
9Clinch1
0Ground0
Luna
Pacheco
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Luna
Pacheco
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
96
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
2/8 fights
Chin rating based on
2/11 fights
Luna
Pacheco
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
0
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Luna
Pacheco
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Luna
Pacheco
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
6.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
LunaPacheco
Strike Zones
Luna
Attacking
49 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedPacheco
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
49 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Luna targets the head (78% of attacks) — Pacheco absorbs 78% of strikes there
🎯Pacheco targets the head (82% of attacks) — Luna absorbs 82% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Luna
RND
Pacheco
0/0R00/0
Luna · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Pacheco · QOF Timeline
Avg: 6.4WinLossTrend
Luna · Last 2
W · Dec · R3
Angel PachecoRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02
W · KO · R1
Quang LeRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
Pacheco · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Santiago LunaRating 7.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Caolan LoughranRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · 2024-03