UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh
Mexico City, Mexico
28 Feb 2026
Bantamweight
VS
90%
Luna
10%
Pacheco
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Santiago
Santiago Luna
"BorderBoy"
8 – 0
5'9"74" reachOrthodox21 yrs2-fight win streakVolume Striker
CFR 72
Angel
Angel Pacheco
7 – 4
Well-Rounded2-fight slide34 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'8"
CFR 8

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Luna

Luna is a strong favourite at 90% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 64 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Luna has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 43 points.

Luna has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Luna
Pacheco
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'8"
74"+
Reach
70"
21+
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Luna
Pacheco
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
71.8
7.7
65.5
Performance Avg
0.0
43
Quality of Victory
0
100
Momentum Score
0
Luna
Pacheco
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
3.7
1.4
54%
Strike Accuracy
30%
7.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
38
Head
14
10
Body
3
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
40Distance16
9Clinch1
0Ground0
Luna
Pacheco
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Luna
Pacheco
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
96
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
2/8 fights
Chin rating based on
2/11 fights
Luna
Pacheco
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
0
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Luna
Pacheco
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Luna
Pacheco
Striking7.0 / 0.0Volume6.0 / 0.0Grappling1.2 / 0.0Wrestling0.8 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure6.5 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
6.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Luna
Strike Zones
Pacheco
Luna
Attacking
38HEAD10BODY1LEGS49 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD3BODY0LEGS17 absorbed
Pacheco
Attacking
14HEAD3BODY0LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
38HEAD10BODY1LEGS49 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Luna targets the head (78% of attacks) — Pacheco absorbs 78% of strikes there
🎯Pacheco targets the head (82% of attacks) — Luna absorbs 82% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Luna
RND
Pacheco
0/0R00/0

Luna · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.5W4.5W2025-092026-02
WinLossTrend

Pacheco · QOF Timeline

Avg: 6.4
0105.6L7.3L2024-032026-02
WinLossTrend

Luna · Last 2

W · Dec · R3
Angel PachecoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02
W · KO · R1
Quang LeRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09

Pacheco · Last 2

L · Dec · R3
Santiago LunaRating 7.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Caolan LoughranRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · 2024-03

News & Media

Santiago Luna · Angel Pacheco
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